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ron obvious

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Everything posted by ron obvious

  1. Why pick 1880? Why pick 1880? Could it be because it suits your case better than 1649, long before the industrial revolution but had similar decade averages to the1970s. The longer the time period the more representative the results. There certainly seems to be an increase since the 70s as shown on the graph which has some lagging correlation to CO2. What's interesting is the individual 'noise' spikes from year to year, - 1740 was as hot as 1990 for example. Weather as against climate. The wettest & worst weather I've seen was in the 1960s. But that's irrelevant. I'm pretty sure there is some anthropogenic effect on global temperature, I'm just not sure it's catastrophic - certainly not sure enough to believe in the impoverishment of much of the world to prevent any increase in global average temperatures.
  2. https://clivebest.com/blog/?p=7603
  3. Yes, I can't see Barnes being happy with the squad mentality at the moment. I can imagine him physically threatening one or two of our players unless they start giving a sh!t. Duffy probably also could, but I think he knows he's finished & can't really be asked any more.
  4. No future No future No future No future for meeeeee ... 😬
  5. Yes, I praised him to the skies when he scored that fabulous goal against Leeds. Then I watched him 2nd half .... he was dog excrement..
  6. I don't think it's one position but both. Replacing Josh with Idah immediately lessened our attacking threat catastrophically, but then to lose Barnes who gave real backbone & morale to the attack (& the whole team) was devastating. If we'd have jus lost Sarge I reckon our goal scoring tally would have dropped but it's more about his work rate & pressure that kept oppositions fully occupied that we missed. Aided & abetted by Barnes' nous & character they didn't allow our opponents much freedom. So losing Sarge puts us at mid-table form, then losing Barnes means there's a greater likelihood of capitulation, which is what we're seeing. Sara & Rowe can't do it on their own. And they're not the sort of players to grab a team by the scruff of the neck & drive them on. And who's been on the bench to replace Onel & Gibbs who would have made a difference? No, we need the two we lost back badly. I have a horrible feeling it's too late now though, morale is awful.
  7. We also lost Barnes. A huge character in the team. I think it was a combination of the two that sent confidence surging through the team. To say losing them both 'hasn't helped' is the understatement of the year - especially when you look at the replacements. A team working well is a really delicate thing. We've all seen teams' form drop dramatically for no really explicable reason. In our case there is s totally obvious one; a really good manager with a really good squad might be able to overcome it, but it's never easy. Look at all the manager's who've gone from hero to zero because they can't get their players to replicate good form. Football's a funny old game, & I don't care what anyone says, it's difficult to predict how things will go, especially for a team operating with our constraints.
  8. It would be interesting to see some stats about our form before we lost Sargent & Barnes compared to afterwards. I suspect they would be very different. Everyone seems to think that taking injuries into account is an 'excuse' but that is palpably ridiculous. Our early season formation clicked, & the players we have now do not. The good form may not happen even after those two return. That's how football goes sometimes. Incidentally I'd also be interested to see the collision that crippled Josh again. I did wonder at the time how much was accidental & how much deliberate.
  9. Over what time scale? https://www.weather.gov/lmk/niu_tornado_frequency_study#:~:text=After removing non-meteorological factors,affect very small geographical areas. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunwich Even in my lifetime I can remember some pretty extreme events (winter 1963. I also remember a satellite picture of the USA showing the whole of the centre being one big lake). Climate changes are exceedingly difficult to separate from weather. You need a period of several thousand years to say much of any significance.
  10. Some people you think will last forever, always a shock. But will always be a legend. R.I.P Bobby.
  11. Terrific game! Leeds are very good going forward, but we've kept them out & restricted their chances of a clean strike. Sara won't be here much longer. If a prem team doesn't buy him in January I'll eat my hat. And that's where he should be playing.
  12. Gibson & Idah should not be starting. Batth & Forshaw less of a risk. Still think Hwang has a bit of nous that would be useful, specially in a game like this. So swap Idah for Hwang, Gibson for Batth & Forshaw for Gibbs or Onel.
  13. Fingers crossed. Advances being made all the time so every reason to be positive. Best wishes to Shakey & family.
  14. Just had my house buildings renewal quote. Gone up from £240 to £588 Nothing has changed regarding risk or claims. I'm not happy.
  15. Awful performance. Totally inept. I'm afraid Wagner's got to admit that Ida just isn't any good. He has no footballing instincts whatsoever. I keep wanting him to come good but it just isn't there. I don't know what he can do till Sarge returns but he'll have to come up with something. I think Adam's woefulness is not helping team morale. And ditto for Gibson's terminal blunders, which outweigh any quality he might have. Time for a rethink.
  16. What we never seem to do is show the utter determination to score in the way that Swansea did for their 2nd goal. They piled 7 or 8 players in & around the box & basically forced the ball home by hook or by crook. We just don't have the character. As a team, as a club, we simply don't care enough. I'm afraid it's been one of the defining properties of the club over the past 20 or so years I've been watching them. I don't what it used to be like, but I can't imagine it changing any time soon.
  17. I am also convinced that there is an anthropogenic element to the climate, however I am not at all sure how large it is & even what it's long term effect might be. Scientific method is the means by which we determine the best predictive models. It works brilliantly in hard science - nobody has ever provided an instance of Ohm's Law, for example, not working; even then it only really works in laboratory conditions (STP & so forth) but the behaviour of conductors in different conditions can be accurately predicted by more sophisticated modelling without dumping the basic concept. Any scientific theory has first to be tested backwards (do previous data confirm the model or not) before observing predicted outcomes. The more complex the situation the more difficult forming viable models becomes & the more statistically imperfect results (less than 100% predictive accuracy) are considered successful & taken to be accurate enough to be useful. Unfortunately it doesn't get much more complex than climate, & many of the factors influencing it since the planet's creation are but imperfectly understood. I'm afraid my experience of scientists is not that good; as an undergraduate I couldn't understand why so many of my peers obtained decent results using the same derelict apparatus as myself until I discovered that many of them were simply making results up. My experience of fellow electronics engineers was similarly mixed - although of course many were motivated by a love of science & engineering there was usually an element of prevarication when it came to funding. Scientists are human, as prone to frailties as we all are, & have to live in the human world. I sometimes wonder if much of the most significant science was performed by those disinterested, eccentric, gentlemen scientists of yore who didn't have to worry about budgets or committees but just followed their passionate interest in the natural world. So I'm sceptical as to how accurate any of the models are - 'Since Records Began' is really a miniscule time period. And it seems to me that it's part of the governmental tool kit to keep us permanently terrified & therefore malleable (not to mention wonderful raw material for the news industry). Having said all that, the interviewer clearly had an agenda, but I ignored his leading questions & listened to Dr. Curry, who I found to be very sensible & not easily led. Overall my position is that we should be prudent regarding energy sources, but not to the point where it wrecks people's lives on the grounds of some highly speculative disaster scenario. Of which I have seen many throughout my life (cue the human race being wiped out by a disease transmitted by unsanitized telephones ...)
  18. I strongly suggest you watch this:
  19. It just reinforces my feeling that it's attitude not ability that's our problem. Our players need to take teams like Plymouth as seriously as they do Fulham.
  20. FFS he's hardly played. He definitely has a touch of class about him. He may well not 'fit' with us, but I'm going to give him some time first.
  21. No pace, urgency, desire, nada, nothing. Rien. Zilch. It's the old story of thinking we're better than we are. If you don't fight, don't put the effort in, you're toast.
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