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Parma Ham's gone mouldy

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Parma Ham's gone mouldy last won the day on August 6 2020

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  1. In bocca al lupo Wacky....think we have a good chance this week ...buona fortuna anche ai tutti Voi PUPetti After last week’s ill-timed pasticcio I’m looking for the Shakespearean wheel to come full circle........will therefore return to Barcelona for restitution and retribution ️... Eibar W vs Barcelona W - Away win As for Mandie’s Norwich bet, think another tricast will bring value: Norwich to win, Norwich to keep a clean sheet, Buendia to assist. Parma
  2. As the he’s-not-the-messiah-he’s-a-very-naughty-boy would say ‘we go again’ ... Parma
  3. Today was a very different 1-0. Nothing like the level of strategic control as vs Rotherham. So he changed it... Parma
  4. Wasn’t that kind of 1-0. Nothing like the level of strategic control as vs Rotherham. So he changed it... Parma
  5. @king canary Where does Idah run? Why does he run there? Does he recognise the key moment when ‘running about putting them under pressure’ is actually an absolutely critical 10 yard burst into a specific spot to prevent a specific trigger movement, that leads to increased space in a key area, that allows the wrong opposition player half a second more, that creates a higher grade chance, that moves the odds (just) against us in that key moment? Pukki does. Much of the key work under Farke is in the brain, not the legs. Parma (nb: the point is in the entirety of the two main posts. The overall aim always overrides small subset aims. Unless things change of course...)
  6. That’s a good post, with some good questions. Nice also that you recognise that analysing what ‘is’ or what Farke may ‘intend’ is not the same as my opinion or what I would do. I actually rarely get asked that.. To answer directly: 1. I think - as my wise Father taught me - that ‘you don’t have to guess if you can read the book, son’. We can see via repeated actions what Farke thinks. In the case of changes in tight winning positions ( and no other factors, such as injury or very specific circumstances) - and reinforcing our observations - Farke typically turns to strategically and tactically astute players. You may note - as per yesterday - that Tettey is brought on for example. Many may think that this is simply ‘taking off Todd for someone more prosaic, shoring up the defence, etc)’, though it is much more than that. Tettey is a ‘structural player’ as I term it, someone who will do what they do, how they do it, under pressure or otherwise. They know how, when and where to make a foul, what constitutes real danger and what constitutes ‘Goreham Danger’. Pukki - quite remarkably for a 9 - also has this. This is one of the reasons - in the circumstances outlined in the analysis post - that Pukki tends not to get much of a rest in such circumstances. Idah may (or may not) be dangerous and full of top-level potential, but he is far too callow and does not yet see any of this at all. Thus Pukki may be tired, over-worked and looking like he might not really force a chance, though that is simply not what is required (anymore). We are not trying to score again. Italy have won 4 World Cups this way. Many teams have nearly scored, but - due to very cute, calculated defending - the chances conceded are ‘manageable’. They may indeed whistle close, though the odds were always against it. In Norwich’s case you may think that this - deep down - rather indicates that Farke does not believe all of his squad have this calculated reasoning at the sharp end of games...and I think you’d be right. When he talks about missing Stieperman, Tettey and Hugill, many of you may think that this is warm squad management. It isn’t. Unlike Onel, Placheta, Idah, Martin (who I really like) et al....all of whom have interesting goal-getting, opposition-troubling weaponry, this simply isn’t what he needs when ahead and in control. 2. I think that there are very interesting, quite advanced, quite original conditioning programmes at Norwich. I think that there is also considerable attention on neuroscientific, emotional and chemico-metabolic reactions to certain ways of approaching football, life and tactics. The way Norwich play is pleasing, stimulating, it feel superior (‘we are the protagonist’)...the clear breadcrumbs of Juanma Lillo’s positional play theories run through much of what we see...as Cruyff knew, it affects more than just goals and technique...it changes how you feel about everything , it engages your brain at all times, it becomes second nature, the ball is the dictator, the pole star. Thus - apologies for the long intro - I just don’t see the Norwich players dropping off significantly (which would be a reason to change) . Couple this with Plan A being more than good enough for all-comers, plus Farke’s penchant for ‘rewarding’ players who do what he needs (rather than what they can), plus he knows that no-one ever wants to come off (Managers don’t have that many real power weapons over players in the modern game. Game-time is ‘not a free gift’ in his words). Pukki - for example - will know better than anyone that his chances of scoring actually increase as the opposition chase the game, get tired and make mistakes (good for him, though also further proof that we don’t have to change, the opposition have done it for us..). Everyone else is thus -predominantly - waiting on injuries or specific game-management roles. They are forced - to some degree - into subservient team-centric actions, ahead of doing what might get them in the team in ‘old world thinking ‘ (Idah going off and scoring for 2-0 might actually be a ‘negative’ in this sense, if it took an undesirable against-the-odds risk to achieve it. I know that’ll be tough for some ) Subs are generally used pretty sparingly in Italy, 1-0 is not a ‘nervous’ score line, winning positions are typically not messed with. It’s unnecessary chess. At a lower level one might ‘give all the lads a run out’ ...’freshen things up’ ....’go like-for-like’...at a professional level I would absolutely, categorically and unequivocally do precisely the thing that has the odds (even just) in my favour. Certainly including - and perhaps even preferably - doing nothing. Parma
  7. We are doing something tactically different this year. Something quite brave. It links with the issue of subs. We are preparing for a higher level of football and have been for a couple of months. We have matured our game to the point where we are far from the ‘you score 4, we score 5’ rollercoaster of yesteryear - and indeed the fluid, attack-minded disrupt-you-by-attacking methodology that won praise - though few points - at the higher level. Thus a strategic dilemma. As the club’s stated mission is Top 26 - and ideally for all Top 17 - then do you jump the hurdle that is in front of you (a) or prepare for the hurdle that is to come (b)? Everyone will say ‘I want both’ though this requires a serious overhaul of tactical approach, something of a change of mentality, whilst naturally retaining all of the fundamental principles of pattern of play. 1. How does this translate into what we see in front of us? 2. What is the Manager doing differently? 3. What are the players doing differently? 4. Do we - as fans - need to change our thinking in any way as a result of 1,2,3? (4.1) How does this affect substitutions (as a small subset of the overall picture)? In basic terms this is the dilemma: Norwich were horribly exposed at the top level. Being brave, ‘going for it’, flooding forward, scoring lots of goals to win games, high volume wins, individual brilliance... were all over-shadowed by ....lack of weaknesses in any position, structural solidity, high levels of diligent athleticism (particularly vid defensive space-covering), set-piece specialists, highly professional approaches (‘gamesmanship’), tactical fouls, deeply-drilled structural shapes, squad depth, strong game-management, responsibility to the collective in almost all players some good, weapon players on every side, et al. How does what we see in front of us now relate to the above and the overall picture? i. We are playing a much lower risk form of football ii. We are retaining elements of our fluid forward play where appropriate (early, nil-nil ‘probing period’ or when presented with highly deficient opposition structure) iii. Once ahead we are sucking the life out of teams - and the game itself - via possession, tempo control (sucking time out of the game, defusing moments when the opposition has any momentum, obtaining ‘easy’ fouls, not trying to advance out of shape..) iv. Chris Goreham is wrong and Farke is right. The game is not ‘close’ at 1-0. It may be ‘close’ at 0-0 (though we are often well ahead on ‘points’ even at this stage) though the ‘fear’ so commonly expressed is subjective and - particularly yesterday - bears little ressemblance to the amount of on-field strategic control we exert. V. Football is a low-scoring game. One goal - as every good Italian knows - is a massive advantage, a huge disruptor to the opposition. They have to change (unless they play very low rent, low-possession, keep-it-tight-hope-for-a-set-piece or bit-of-luck and cannot change..like Rotherham yesterday) and you do not. vi. Change is not generally good in football. You spend enormous amounts of time setting up your structure, tactical plan, personnel interactions, minutiae that the average fan would scarcely believe. Change thus becomes an inferior Plan B (or it would have been Plan A). Things can work in your favour - though ‘bringing on Big Crouchy when they’re tiring’ is a luxury most Championship clubs don’t have. If their ‘Crouchy’ was better, he’d start. vii. ‘Rotherham’s Crouchy’ doesn’t start because ‘when you’re attacking you are defending’ and ‘when you’re defending you are attacking’. Every piece and action is inter-connected and affects the whole. Few fans have the inside knowledge, data, direct experience, direct contact with the psychology of the players or deep understanding of how disparate parts contribute to the whole. Adding one things costs another, which diminishes another, augments a different piece, all of which suits one player , makes it harder for another, increases stress on one part of the system, strengthening another....but how does that relate to your resources, what the opposition resources are, what the variables of the day are (pitch, conditions, league position, momentum, current dressing-room psychology)? Viii. We are thus not trying to score at 1-0. We will will if a great opportunity presents itself, if someone does something strategically low-risk though brilliant, the opposition makes a mistake or the opposition breaks its own structure too much in trying to recover a goal. ix. When you are ahead you don’t need to change (nb: assuming - like us - that your game plan is superior, repeatedly troubling the opposition and making it notably more likely that you will score - or not obviously concede via an apparent weakness). It isn’t your problem. You might proactively counter a move the opposition is going to make (‘bringing on Crouchy’), though - as with yesterday - not if all that can be offered is more of the same. Why would you then change? The pattern of play is showing that you (remain) far more likely to score than the opposition. X. In this context subs become a tactical weapon - like a set piece - and are actually used to disrupt the opposition momentum, defuse the last 10 minutes (subs at ‘85 minutes’ as written may actually play for 15 minutes note), ‘steal’ time from the referees watch and re-inforce key spaces as opposition teams overload. xi. The actual quality of ‘chances’ we are conceding is generally very low. Fans are conditioned to fear narrow leads (in England) and thus hold their breath ‘Goreham-like’ every time the opposition crosses the half-way line because of ‘what might happen’ in their passionate, partisan minds. Professionals must resist such subjective fear and contextualise it clearly with the empirical evidence in front of them. We are preparing - bravely - for a higher level. This is not ‘putting the cart before the horse’ , it is necessary transitioning and re-inforces Farke’s (and others’) observation that free-scoring promoted teams may - occasionally - keep scoring at the top level and survive a (lucrative) year, though teams that generally establish over a mid-term period (and thus are able to structurally strengthen) have far better defensive structure, are able to ‘see out’ tight games and resist ‘fear marketing’ when they are ahead. Like any really good (and he is excellent) coach he is managing to elegantly tessellate the immediate objectives with organic, persistent progression towards a deeper growth objective. Thus you use current circumstances to create ‘set-pieces’ that point your charges towards the future. You are hardening your players to perform, act and decide as if they were playing at a (far) higher level. Which they will be. Parma
  8. Truthfully I was quite tempted to copy you on that one, though it’s not my style...️.... Forza Barça!.......perhaps I can squeeze through a week that didn’t quite present... #needabitoflucktowinchampionships ️ Parma
  9. I know what you mean @KiwiScot...there is the Champions League game with PSG on Wednesday too, so they would often rest lots of players....though at 4-1 down, they also need to keep an eye on the drifting league position...️... Mind you, I tend to avoid Thailand, particularly the lower leagues...very odd outcomes on long odds sometimes...️...who can say why?... ... Parma
  10. In bocca al lupo ...Diesel Doris ...good safe pair of hands this week ...e tutti i voi PUPetti Not sure anything quite fits the algorithm this week, so will back Barca to continue their good form and drive themselves back into contention: Barca vs Cadiz - Home win As for Lakey’s Norwich bet, value to be had via a nice tricast: Norwich to win, Pukki to score, Norwich clean sheet Parma
  11. Best player on the pitch tonight. By a distance. Parma
  12. I would have slept in that.........fantastic ️...a step on from the original Dortmund concept: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=WhAyX81zP2M Brilliant .......makes training a - meaningful - pleasure...the inclusion of Neuroplastic brain-tracking and development is also long overdue. However romantically-perceived ‘running up mousehold Heath’ is, this is a magnificent, intelligent fusion of science, sport and mental development. Heaven Parma
  13. Thanks Kiwi, very decent of you......I’m going to throw that one at Bet365’s door as pretty sure it was listed for tomorrow with the others earlier... Anyhoo, will trade for: Ludgorets Razgrad vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Home win ... ...should still be a good bet Parma
  14. In bocca al lupo Til e tutti voi belli PUPetti .... Think in the Spanish Primera Nacional Femenina that there should be a home win for: UD Geneto del Teide vs CD Furia Arona As for Diane’s Norwich bet I think a counter-cyclical bet: Norwich to win, Pukki to score, Norwich more than 2.5 goals ️️️ Parma
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