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Mark .Y.

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  1. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    And the infection rate dropped to below 29%, which is the lowest figure since 26th March and probably represents a widening of the population being tested.
  2. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    I'm hoping I'm not going too early here but I think both Italy and Spain are past their peaks
  3. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    More encouraging figures from Spain today, cases and deaths continue the downward trend
  4. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Interesting little article about the Netherlands and their approach. I was mentioning earlier that I was there the week they began to close bars etc and a couple of the guys I was working with said they hoped they would more easily beat the virus as they tend to be compliant to what their government asks them to do. Bit of slightly lazy journalism when they say the deaths are high compared to their population, their totals look pretty much the same as you would expect them if you compared them to ours and multiplied them for our larger population. Netherlands Strategy
  5. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    I agree 100% with this, I am incredibly disappointed with our news services. Both from the point of not giving us the full story (though I accept that if you look hard enough there are bits and pieces) but also not being agressive enough at the daily press briefings.
  6. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    I prefer to look from the peak deaths in Italy on March 27th (919), there looks to be a distinct downward trend, even allowing for a bit of "noise" in the figures since then. The Spanish authoritises, according to what they say on Spanish TV, feel that they have stabilised now. So there is some good news out there
  7. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Yes, agree it is not totally clear but I read it as you did. Would perhaps explain why there seemed to be quite a bit of confidence about hospital capacity at the briefing yesterday evening
  8. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Isn't that what he is saying ?? It is titled "Net Admissions" which would suggest to me that it is the difference between those leaving and those being admitted, - otherwise, how could England be -300...... maybe I'm not seeing something here and he as just given it a cr*p title
  9. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Yes, I find it particularly incredible that we seem to be unable to produce numbers of recovered cases.
  10. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Yes, I agree. I've seen the charts which show most countries follow a 35% then 22% then 13% increase in cases before pretty much plateauing. We seem to be currently just below the 13%. It is all going to be very confusing if they double the amount of testing though. Maybe a better indication then would be how many cases a day are admitted into hospital, if we had the historical data for that statistic it might be the easiest way to track when we are peaking.
  11. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Ah yes, thanks sonyc. I didn't actually click on the link as I have several of the individual country pages open. So yes, the Netherlands is well below Spain at the moment although I guess we don't know what the future holds.
  12. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Thats the site I use too. I just couldn't see how you got to the conclusion that, per capita, the Netherlands was up there with Spain. Spain is averaging over 800 deaths a day with just less than 3 times the population of the Netherlands so I would have thought that the Netherlands would have to see closer to 300 deaths per day (rather than 166) to be comparable - or have I stupidly missed something simple ?
  13. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    "E" Can you just explain how you got those deaths per million. I'm not particularly questioning your conclusions, I'm probably just too stupid to understand something here
  14. Mark .Y.

    Corona Virus main thread

    Belgiums is high but the Netherlands really isn't when compared to Spain. It has around a third of the population Spain has (17 million versus 44 million) so the "equivalent" of about 500 deaths a day which is way less than Spain's actual numbers. The only reason I am particularly keeping an eye on the Netherlands is that I was there for 5 days, flying home on 20th March. Some restrictions had already been put in place (bars/cafes/restaurants etc shut) and a couple of the Dutch guys I was working with were telling me that they hoped it wouldn't be so bad there because, as a general rule, the Dutch do tend to behave and do what their Government tells them..............not sure how true that really is, but there you go - thats what they told me. But I do take your point on Belgium. Oh, should have mentioned, I am very interested in Spain also as have a flat over there and really want to get back there as soon as I can........... don't think it is gonna be for a while.
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