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Essjayess

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Essjayess last won the day on April 23 2019

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  1. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    254 cases in Norfolk now and 46 deaths. Suffolk 191 cases.
  2. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    agreed ricardo...and with different mutated strains of the virus to...its already known that the Chinese, European and South American Corvid 19 make ups are different, having many mutations within each that differ from other areas of the world.
  3. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    One element of these so called testings sonyc is accuracy...each nation will likely use a different testing make up...i know that here at home the slow rate of testing increase has in one stance been put down to the very tight restrictions that the NHS have for the mix of chemical ingredients that make up the testing compound...and pressure of late has increased the demand for fast tracking testings in different methods. Point of this is..what determines accuracy..im just a humble football forum member, not a scientist.
  4. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    If you guys have noticed, Worldometer have now added a stat for nations testings as a total. I dont know what relevance it adds , other create plenty of opinions. For starters, i looked at the nations around the China area that had a few early cases and have been classed as dealing with the virus outbreak quite successfully. The UK has done 183,000+ testings now. As already known, South Korea were predominantly doing much testing..it says theyve done 455k testings. But both Taiwan and Japan have done less than 40k testings each. Japan in particular...with a population of 130 million...have done 39,000 testings. I leave that up to others to opinionate if they want to.
  5. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Any graph, taken from 1 day, or 2 or 3, are indicators of nothing. The only graph that really matters is Deaths. Since March 21st, thats about 2 weeks, Italy has averaged around 750 deaths a day, with a peak around 900 and trough of 600, but most days 700ish..thats a fairly decent time period to see Italy deaths have stabilised...not decrease...just stabilised. Spain deaths, since about March 24th, have shown a slight rise..from around the Italy type 700+ to about 800 now..so Spain has as yet not stabilised in the way Italy has. The UK has today joined Italy and Spain in the 700-900 deaths a day, but our daily deaths are still steadily increasing..which means we dont know yet whether we will be in the Italy / Spain category or go higher...i.e. averaging 1k or more deaths a day..its quite possible considering Spains population is 20 million lower than the UK's. It only shows that as yet we are not at the peak.
  6. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Looking at the China graphs tell us nothing. To, we have not a single marker in Europe yet to tell us what to expect and once we do even get a marker, say Italy for instance, thats no evidence that graphs elsewhere will pan out the same as Italy. Just to many factors to make anywhere near concrete evidence that things will go this way or that way. One thing Bill was right about was looking at the Spanish flu outbreak a century ago, nobody could surmise the actual twists and turns that happened then and we are lumbered with a virus that has a very stubborn outer shell, has already mutated differently in Europe than the Chinese virus and the Brazilian one mutattion is different yet again. So asking how long will it take for Italy's cases or deaths to reach zero or very low is like saying how long is a piece of string.
  7. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Its no fetish Bill, its just a realisation that we are living in a global pandemic and global disaster that few of us have ever lived thru before. I would rather discuss and disect these kind of figures than discuss or disect political ramifications to do with how well or not a government is coping or doing during this world disaster. We had 3 years of Brexit merry-go-rounding on this forum concerning such political goings on, and no doubt when this virus is under control there will be years more discussion and dissection of the World economy in the aftermath of the pandemic. So, right now, its the gory daily deaths, cases, what have you, that holds my attention, not how good or bad our government is doing.
  8. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Ok the France death toll of 1120 today includes another 520 that died in nursing homes, so the hospital deaths for today in France was around 600, which is more believable. But add 520 to last nights 884...thats a heck of a lot of deaths in French nursing homes from Covid.
  9. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Im a bit puzzled by those France figures. Yesterday, initially, they recorded around 450 deaths, but later in the night another 884 were added from deaths in France that had occured in nursing homes in the last few weeks, so making the days total around 1350. But if todays total was just hospital deaths thats an unbelievable increase from yesterdays 450. So im a bit puzzled about those stats.
  10. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Certain data could indicate that the UK could soon be much worse in death totals than either Spain or Italy had. On the graph that compared Italy and UK at same period in time the UK is now more than 1,000 deaths ahead of Italy and the gap is increasing at an ever faster rate. So unless the lockdown and social distancing has dramatic affects we could end up with the highest death tally of any nation in Europe. Anyone that thinks lockdown will be eased in a mere matter of weeks will be way wrong.
  11. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Locally, cases in Norfolk confirmed now as 207, with 38 deaths, up 7 from yesterday. In Suffolk, 157 confirmed cases, with 20 deaths. Sad times indeed.
  12. Essjayess

    National League null and void

    Yes indeed, seems to me like each nations football authorities have the right to determine what action to take as regards how things stand at present, UEFA can only wave their big stick and threaten possible non participation in next seasons European tournaments if nations decide to take certain actions like ending this current season. So be it i say, seem like many still have not grasped how long this pandemic will last, the possibility of football action in July is fanciful at best.
  13. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Hong Kong, part of China these days, recorded 43 new cases...yet miraculously only 31 new cases in the other 1.4 billion Chinese...that alone stinks of inaccuracy and lies. So small is Hong Kong it used to be called a "pimple on Mao's nose", so yes its feeling like a huge watering down of deaths and cases. Yup 684 new deaths today...we are now close to Spain / Italy numbers...but the worry here is that the daily number is increasing in big numbers with no sign of a slowing...would not surprise me to see us the nation that gets over 1000 a day ...even Italy's highest was 919.
  14. Essjayess

    Corona Virus main thread

    Another obvious issue when looking at any of the sites, Worldometer, John Hopkins etc is that because the UK has not recorded recoveries since March 22nd it makes other numbers inaccurate to, such as Active Cases. For example Worldometer has UK having 33, 718 confirmed cases, of which 2.921 died and 135 recovered, they subtract that from confirmed total and leave the rest as "Active cases" which in UK is shown as 30,662...so people recovered in UK since March 22nd, such as Prince Charles, are still included as an active case. This is another reason why a recovery list is needed. One reason why sites like Worldometer should not have a % chart for closed cases (deaths and recoveries) is that its completely meaningless..the UK has 2921 deaths and 135 recoveries...so Worldometer has the death percentage for closed cases here at 96%.
  15. Essjayess

    National League null and void

    JF, i totally agree with you about the practices in those food markets. The things are barbaric, obscene and totally unhygienic and have given the world a very nasty and deadly virus to contend with. But ive also written more than one post, saying its the small and powerful Chinese elite that allowed these food markets to stay open, to satisfy their own ridiculous and selfish opinions that all manner of animal parts will somehow envigorate them in all things healthy. Cannot be over emphasised that the vast majority of ordinary Chinese peoples do not indulge in these ways. To show that im no goody goody please be kind to all animals type of person, i personally believed that fox hunting should have continued, but not in the way it was ...i.e. not with the lords and ladies in their red coats on horseback galloping behind a trained pack of marauding hounds. People love foxes, often because they look pretty, but foxes themselves are vicious creatures...they often kill instinctively just to kill...not for the eating. They can and do rip through chickens, geese and the like...biting the heads off and moving on...leaving littered headless corpses laying around everywhere. A licensed and proper cull should happen in areas where to many foxes roam. Ok this is getting off topic.. I trust that after this virus is over the entire worlds organisations lean heavily on the Chinese authorities that such food markets should never, ever again find a place in their land. Other such markets in nearby nations should also be investigated and dealt with appropriately.
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