horsefly

An entirely different scenario. A simple bit of knowledge about the pitfalls of comparing different significant variables in statistical analysis should disabuse you of such naively simplistic speculation.

Oh dear! Yet more scintilating analysis. Clearly all the 42%of voters who turned out for the Hartlepool election were desperately concerned about Labour's views on BLM and trans rights, and their avowed policies of not emptying bins or catching criminals. The result, of course, had nothing at all to do with a bounce from a very successful vaccine roll-out after a year long pandemic.

The 1983 election saw Labour's vote slump to 27.6% and a Tory majority of 144 seats. The 1997 election saw Labour's vote increase to 43.5% and a Labour majority of 179 seats. A touch early to be talking of the extinction of the Labour Party I would suggest.

What an insightful and intellectual analysis. Never before in human history have Labour slumped to such a defeat, clearly they are doomed to extinction. Oh wait... the 1983 election saw Labour's vote slump to 27.6% and a Tory majority of 144 seats; then the 1997 election saw Labour's vote increase to 43.5% and a Labour majority of 179 seats. Forgive me if I don't wet my pants with joy or despair at today's results.

Says the infamous poster of lunatic QAnon videos that day after day claimed the US election result was about to be overturned in the next few hours. Treat yourself to a good laugh and review your contributions on the US election threads. If you think posting that insane garbage constitutes anything resembling "research" that explains an awful lot about the asinine level of your posts.

Yes of course it is, no one will be talking about brexit in a month or two, all over and done with. It will be a great relief to see all those SMEs trading normally, hospitals fully staffed, exporters trading without friction etc, etc, etc.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/home-office-unlawfully-prevented-windrush-woman-s-family-from-joining-her-in-uk-high-court-rules/ar-BB1gpVA3?ocid=msedgntp

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/newslondon/did-a-shock-350-000-tax-bill-trigger-boris-johnson-s-pleas-for-downing-st-cash/ar-BB1gqFvW?ocid=msedgdhp

Thanks for the intelligent response. Seems to be about your standard level.

Wow! How remarkably naive. Anyone thinking brexit is "history" is living in cloud cuckoo land. It's only 4 months in, and we haven't even had the implementation of the full regulations yet. Perhaps you should ask the Northern Irish if brexit is "history", or the thousands of struggling SMEs, or the fisherman, or the people of Jersey, the hospitals and social care employers, or the farmers, etc, etc, etc. We have no idea just what the cost of brexit will be yet as it is in its very early stages. Even the government predicts a 4% decline in GDP over many years. Where you get your figures to support the claim that brexit is merely causing "short term economic damage already being superseded by a "post Covid" boom" I would love to know.

Jesus! you really are so damn childish.

For someone who self-describes as an economic genius you do somewhat struggle with the most basic of facts. Let me try and help you out with a very simple example: Imagine I have a £100 but due to a reckless economic decision I lose £99 of that, meaning I am left with a solitary £1. Now suppose I begin a "magnificent" economic recovery and my wealth grows by a personal record of 100%, that will leave me with a "princely" sum of £2. Had I not been so reckless in the first place and retained my £100 a mere 1% growth on that would have yielded the same increase in wealth as 100% growth on £1 (only I would now have £101 and not £2). Moral of the story: when you hit the depths of economic decline, any record growth that follows, while welcome, doesn't mean you are reaching anywhere near the level of economic wealth that you should have.

Haha! Says the man who just posted a link saying the "French wages war on Britain" (not sure why NI is excluded). Grow up indeed you fool.

The wonderful legacy of brexit: Uk fishermen's lives being ruined, EU fishermen's lives being ruined, and we're wasting hundreds of thousands of taxpayer's money sending in the Navy to precipitate a potential international incident with a market economy that is vital to the industry. Yes indeed! so much to be positive about this calamitous act of gross self-harm.

Yes it does, it simply changed its name to the Reform Party. Can't believe you're so ignorant about this since it wasn't that long ago you joyously announced the name change on this site, and happily told us you had sent in your membership fee.

So they are literally threatening them with guns are they?

Perhaps Jools would be better off listening to a police officer who was beaten up by the Jan 6th insurrectionists: https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/dc-police-officer-slams-disgraceful-political-indifference-in-wake-of-6-january-capitol-riot/ar-BB1gpk3G?ocid=msedgntp DC police officer slams ‘disgraceful’ political indifference in wake of 6 January Capitol riot “As the physical injuries gradually subsided in crept the psychological trauma,” wrote officer Michael Fanone, who has served with the Metro police for nearly two decades. “I struggle daily with the emotional anxiety of having survived such a traumatic event but I also struggle with the anxiety of hearing those who continue to downplay the events of that day and those who would ignore them altogether with their lack of acknowledgement.” During the 6 January riots, five people were killed and more than 100 officers were injured, the culmination of weeks of baseless conspiracy theories about a stolen election spread by Mr Trump and adopted by his Republican allies in Congress. Mr Fanone described the horror of what he saw defending one of the Capitol’s west entrances. “I was pulled out into the crowd, away from my fellow officers, beaten with fists, metal objects, stripped of my issued badge, radio and ammunition magazine and electrocuted numerous times with a Taser,” he said. “The fighting here was nothing short of brutal,” he added. “Many of these officers were injured, bleeding and fatigued but they continued to fight.” But those most responsible for causing what happened haven’t faced many meaningful consequences, while others hold fast to their challenge of the election results even though it’s long been clear, from numerous failed lawsuits and successful recounts and vote audits, that Joe Biden was the outright winner of the presidential contest. Following the riot, Mr Trump became the first president to be impeached twice, but he escaped conviction in the Senate with numerous Republican votes for acquittal. Senators like Josh Hawley, one of the key leaders in challenging the election results in Congress, have stuck by their stance in recent days. On a recent Washington Post podcast, he defended an infamous photo of him offering a celebratory fist pump to a crowd of Trump supporters outside the Capitol moments before the riots began. “I waved to them, gave them the thumbs up, pumped my fist to them and thanked them for being there, and they had every right to do that,” the Missouri Republican said on Monday on the Washington Post Live broadcast.

I suggest this is not a good line for an apologist for Jeffrey Epstein to use.

I suspect the next update will have to include his prisoner number.

Try reading my posts and then say something that might be even remotely accurate or relevant.

Indeed! A bit difficult for Mitch, as head of the "party of law and order", not to admit the reality of Trump's defeat, given that every court in the land threw out Trump's lawsuits.

Glad to see you back posting your QAnonce vids. Missed the joy of laughing at their lunacy.

I would be more than delighted to be relieved of the need to respond to childish quips. So if you do me the courtesy of shutting up making such comments we could all get on with discussing the issues.

Well that's an interesting take that probably says more about you than it does about me. How you get "belittling the genocide" (I assume you mean the holocaust) out of that is quite remarkable. And to think you're one of those that complains about "woke" and "cancel culture".

Gosh! No one could possibly suspect that you have included all this garbage to disguise your persistent childish game of accusing me of being Bill could they. Truly childish and pathetic! Grow up man.