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ricardo

Rickys early relegation prediction.

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[quote user="paul moy"]

[quote user="lake district canary"][quote user="paul moy"]So we''re going to beat West Brom away ?    LOL[/quote]

Why lol?

[/quote]

... because WBA are third in the Prem, playing great football and scoring lots of goals in the process.  We''ll be lucky to scrape a draw IMO so to predict a win for us when we manage less than a goal a game seems a tad unrealistic.  

[/quote]

We are also letting goals in less than we are scoring them.    The evidence is that we are going to be mean defensively whoever the opposition.    That''s why I asked why the lol.    0-0 can easily turn into a 0-1 even away from home.   It''s not such a laughable idea really - is it? [:^)]

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[quote user="Grant Holts 3 year contract"][quote user="ricardo"]You will be glad to hear Nigel, that after much analysis and discussion

with Snowy the Cat, Ricardo is now prepared to call it that City will

not be relegated this season.In 20 seasons of the Premier League

61 teams have been relegated (4 in 94/95 due to reduction in number of

clubs). Of those 61 subsequently relegated clubs 51, ( 84%) had averaged

a point a game or less after 12 matches played.In half of those

20 seasons all 3 subsequently relegated clubs had averaged less than a

point a game after 12 matches and in the other 10 seasons, 2 out of 3

were relegated.The only teams with more than a point a game average after 12 games but were subsequently relegated were:-92/93  Middsboro  16 points94/95  Norwich      19 points96/97  Middsboro  13 points97/98  Palace         15 points98/99  Charlton      15 points00/01  Man City     14 points07/08  Reading       13 points08/09  Middsboro  17 points09/10  Hull City      16 points10/11  Blackpool    14 pointsPoints to consider:-1. People

often say that there is always a team that drops into the relegation

positions late on. This is not born out by the facts. 84% of relegated

teams have accumulated only 12 points or less after 12 games. 2. The bookies are offering 7/4 City will be relegated but the true odds are better than 8-1.3. History says that it is a statistical certainty that 2 teams from Wigan, Villa, Southampton, Reading, QPR. will be relegated and that it is an even money shot that all three relegated teams will come from this five.

[/quote]So basically you messed your pants far too early and now you''re changing your mind? [8] Are you First Wiz, are you First Wiz, ARE YOU FIRST WIZ IN DISGUISE [8][:P] [;)][Y][/quote]Er No, since my BBC predictor results has us finishing on 44 points and 14th position.

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[quote user="lake district canary"][quote user="paul moy"]

[quote user="lake district canary"][quote user="paul moy"]So we''re going to beat West Brom away ?    LOL[/quote]


Why lol?




[/quote]

... because WBA are third in the Prem, playing great football and scoring lots of goals in the process.  We''ll be lucky to scrape a draw IMO so to predict a win for us when we manage less than a goal a game seems a tad unrealistic.  

[/quote]



We are also letting goals in less than we are scoring them.    The evidence is that we are going to be mean defensively whoever the opposition.    That''s why I asked why the lol.    0-0 can easily turn into a 0-1 even away from home.   It''s not such a laughable idea really - is it? [:^)]



[/quote]

West Brom only have to score one goal to mean that we need two to win. We don''t score two nowadays but WBA will score so we won''t win..... mark my words.

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"West Brom only have to score one goal to mean that we need two to win"

And I said they will score 1 and we will score 2.

"We don''t score two nowadays but WBA will score so we won''t win..... mark my words"

That''s why this is fun.

Predictions for today BTW -

Chelsea 2 - Man City 0

Southamption 1 - Newcastle 2

Swansea 2 - Liverpool 1

Tottenham 1 - West Ham 0

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Now a wiser ( or less honest) person may have considered ''tweaking'' their Swans Pool prediction, given that they posted 5 minutes before the end of the match with the score 0-0.

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[quote user="dpit"]Now a wiser ( or less honest) person may have considered ''tweaking'' their Swans Pool prediction, given that they posted 5 minutes before the end of the match with the score 0-0.[/quote]

 

Which is ironic when your handle is "Surfer."

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Hah ! 1 out of 4. So Tuesday''s predictions (furiously adjusting "Lawrenson Results Predictor" algorithim)

Aston Villa 2 - Reading 0

Sunderland 2 - QPR 2

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[quote user="paul moy"]

[quote user="lake district canary"][quote user="paul moy"]So we''re going to beat West Brom away ?    LOL[/quote]

Why lol?

[/quote]

... because WBA are third in the Prem, playing great football and scoring lots of goals in the process.  We''ll be lucky to scrape a draw IMO so to predict a win for us when we manage less than a goal a game seems a tad unrealistic.  

[/quote]You DO KNOW that we beat Man United right? But that result doesnt fit your agenda does it...

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"Hah ! 1 out of 4. So Tuesday''s predictions (furiously adjusting "Lawrenson Results Predictor" algorithim)

Aston Villa 2 - Reading 0

Sunderland 2 - QPR 2"

More tweaking obviously needed - both results correct, but goals scored aspect is a bit wonky.

Nonetheless without additional algorithm tweaking, I predict tomorrows results will be -

Chelsea 3 - 0 Fulham

Everton 2 - 1 Arsenal

Man Utd 3 - 1 West Ham

-- Soton 0 - 2 City ---

Stoke 2 - 1 Newcastle

Swansea 1 - West Brom 0

Totenham 2 - 0 Liverpool

Wigan 1 - 3 Man City

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[quote user="Surfer"]I can now reveal (based on BBC predictor) the final table for the season.

Man U 90

Man C 83

Chelsea 76

Liverpool 65

Arsenal 63

Tottenham 62

Everton 59

-- City -- 53

Fulham 50

Stoke 50

Newcastle 49

West Ham 46

Swansea 45

West Brom 43

Wigan 40

Reading 39

Sunderland 37

-------------

Aston Villa 36

QPR 35

Southamption 32[/quote]

Big time fail!

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Come on - surely someone can still get us bottom ;-)   

 

and back to the possible even relegated?    

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