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pete

45 mins + the danger time

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At 45 mins plus we just shoot ourselves in the foot.  It is now 4 times in last few matches where we have conceded in this period and lost points which if not conceded would have probably resulted in enough points to put us clear at the top.

Bristol C, Nottingham Forest, Derby Co and now Sheff Utd,  Probably all could have been won if we had been more practical to see out the first half.  Was hoping we would get to half time yesterday in the lead which looked likely until Buendia's crazy push.

You would have hoped Farke would have instructed the players to be aware at this and be wary at this important time.  All of the above goals could have been avoided.  Hope this trait is stopped and we can stay in the promotion picture. 

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It has been our achilles heel i agree Pete but just to balance things out what about the points we have picked up in time added on at the end of 90 mins ? A few weeks ago Leeds and the Scum were getting quite upset about it on their forums.

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2 hours ago, TIL 1010 said:

It has been our achilles heel i agree Pete but just to balance things out what about the points we have picked up in time added on at the end of 90 mins ? A few weeks ago Leeds and the Scum were getting quite upset about it on their forums.

This is right, do you not think that our opponents have a game plan? that they come into a game with tactics of their own? Sure we've conceded on the stroke of half time a little too often but with possibly the youngest back four in the Division, currently lying second, is it necessary to find fault in what is a perfectly acceptable result?

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Not too sure of your point here splendidrush as i most certainly was not finding fault in us scoring in time added on merely adding balance to the OP who states that we could have avoided letting in goals at important times in a game. He further states that he hopes this trait stops so we can stay in the promotion picture.

That is what i call finding fault in some perfectly acceptable results.

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Just now, TIL 1010 said:

Not too sure of your point here splendidrush as i most certainly was not finding fault in us scoring in time added on merely adding balance to the OP who states that we could have avoided letting in goals at important times in a game.

Anytime we let in a goal is an important time. 

 

4 hours ago, pete said:

 All of the above goals could have been avoided.  Hope this trait is stopped and we can stay in the promotion picture. 

Is that right though? Surely our opponents are doing everything they can to score as well. I  agree with the second comment. 

 

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Anytime is also an important time to score which is what i was saying to add some balance to the OP.

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This is a record of our goals scored and conceded per 15 mins. 31-45 is our worst period with a -3 GDiff. But -3 is constant with the first half record. 76-90 is our best at +11 and 2nd half as a whole is +19. 

It can only show a trend and that trend clearly points to us being stronger later in the game. Although I would suggest 76-90 is at least 18 mins and often more.

 

GOALS PER 15 MIN.   (total)
0-15 GF 3
 
GA 5
 
16-30 GF 7
 
GA 5
 
31-45 GF 5
 
GA 8
 
 
46-60 GF 10
 
GA 4
 
61-75 GF 8
 
GA 6
 
76-90 GF 21
 
GA 10
 
 
1st H GF 15
 
28%
GA 18
 
47%
 
2nd H GF 39
 
72%
GA 20
 
53%

'31-45' and '76-90' include added time 
GF: Goals scored ('goals for') 
GA: Goals conceded ('goals against')

Edited by nutty nigel

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4 hours ago, Thirsty Lizard said:

What is that graph for Westcoast? Is it just The Championship or is it the whole League? 

Thirsty, the data sample used for that particular graph came from the EPL. But the overall pattern it illustrates is reproduced in all the studies I've seen, irrespective of league, as indeed is the contrast between first and second halves. Measured by time of goals scored, the vast majority of teams are "stronger" in the second half than the first, as well as being "weaker" measured by timing of goals conceded. 

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Goals scored and goals conceded in each time segment
Overall 0-15 min 16-30 min 31-45 min 46-60 min 61-75 min 76-90 min      1st half 2nd half
 Aston Villa 10 - 4 7 - 8 8 - 7 5 - 11 13 - 4 10 - 12   25 - 19 28 - 27
 Birmingham City 4 - 2 9 - 6 4 - 6 6 - 5 6 - 6 11 - 8   17 - 14 23 - 19
 Blackburn 4 - 4 8 - 1 2 - 5 9 - 3 8 - 10 9 - 18   14 - 10 26 - 31
 Bolton 3 - 7 1 - 7 3 - 4 4 - 5 4 - 12 3 - 7   7 - 18 11 - 24
 Brentford 6 - 7 7 - 12 5 - 2 7 - 5 8 - 7 10 - 6   18 - 21 25 - 18
 Bristol City 2 - 3 4 - 3 5 - 8 7 - 7 8 - 5 9 - 3   11 - 14 24 - 15
 Derby County 7 - 6 8 - 6 7 - 3 7 - 6 4 - 7 7 - 7   22 - 15 18 - 20
 Hull City 6 - 5 7 - 7 6 - 4 5 - 6 9 - 9 8 - 7   19 - 16 22 - 22
 Ipswich Town 5 - 7 2 - 9 7 - 6 2 - 8 2 - 13 5 - 7   14 - 22 9 - 28
 Leeds Utd 3 - 7 5 - 6 6 - 1 12 - 7 9 - 5 14 - 5   14 - 14 35 - 17
 Middlesbrough 4 - 3 3 - 5 6 - 2 7 - 3 3 - 2 8 - 5   13 - 10 18 - 10
 Millwall 4 - 5 6 - 5 2 - 6 8 - 4 6 - 5 8 - 19   12 - 16 22 - 28
 Norwich City 3 - 5 7 - 5 5 - 8 10 - 4 8 - 6 21 - 10   15 - 18 39 - 20
 Nottm Forest 8 - 5 3 - 3 3 - 4 6 - 3 13 - 8 9 - 10   14 - 12 28 - 21
 Preston 6 - 1 4 - 4 8 - 10 6 - 9 6 - 6 15 - 15   18 - 15 27 - 30
 QP Rangers 4 - 4 6 - 7 9 - 4 8 - 6 2 - 8 5 - 10   19 - 15 15 - 24
 Reading 6 - 8 5 - 2 3 - 6 2 - 10 6 - 7 9 - 10   14 - 16 17 - 27
 Rotherham 3 - 6 4 - 6 2 - 7 6 - 9 5 - 7 8 - 13   9 - 19 19 - 29
 Sheffield Utd 7 - 4 3 - 4 10 - 3 6 - 4 10 - 7 12 - 9   20 - 11 28 - 20
 Sheffield Wed 3 - 3 8 - 4 3 - 7 5 - 13 9 - 8 5 - 10   14 - 14 19 - 31
 Stoke City 3 - 3 5 - 6 4 - 8 8 - 8 6 - 3 7 - 9   12 - 17 21 - 20
 Swansea City 6 - 4 6 - 5 4 - 7 4 - 3 6 - 6 11 - 7   16 - 16 21 - 16
 West Bromwich 4 - 7 9 - 4 7 - 3 8 - 6 11 - 6 18 - 9   20 - 14 37 - 21
 Wigan Athletic 4 - 5 5 - 7 9 - 7 5 - 8 3 - 8 3 - 9   18 - 19 11 - 25
'31-45 min' and '76-90 min' also include added time

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