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nutty nigel

Rays Funds for the CSF with the Pink un Pickers Week 2

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If Carlsberg did weekends!

 

Thanks everyone, it''s been a fantastic thread this weekend. We had our team''s great win on Saturday and then Lakey''s brilliant final six coming good last night. We had a little drama but CD came to my rescue and so nearly got us another win too.

 

I know I say this every year but I think we have our best team ever this season. You must just get better year in year out. A fantastic 54 of you picked this weekend and the results were much kinder because 41 of you had good picks (76%). There were 25 good suggestions among the 35 given (71%). We still have 14 PUPs who have perfect 100% records and AJ is still top of the PUPs for the second week. You have three young ladies chasing you though AJ....

 

Here''s the PUPs league showing those with at least 50%correct from at least half the available weeks. I will start publishing a profability version next month but for the moment they''re not much different. : -

 

PUP Wins Picks Win% Profitability
AJ 2 2 100% 3.810
Cityangel 2 2 100% 2.660
Kathy 2 2 100% 2.600
Chellecity 2 2 100% 2.090
Yellowfuture 2 2 100% 1.980
nutty nigel 2 2 100% 1.750
Yankee 2 2 100% 1.640
CD Mullins 2 2 100% 1.430
Mandie Moo''s Mear Kat 2 2 100% 1.380
Herman 2 2 100% 1.371
Vindo 2 2 100% 1.360
Cosmic Twin 2 2 100% 1.300
Purple Canary 2 2 100% 1.240
Parma ham''s gone mouldy 1 1 100% 1.250
Crabbycanary 1 1 100% 1.220
Hector Brockelbank 1 1 100% 1.220
Beauseant 1 1 100% 1.110
Norfolkbroadslim 1 1 100% 1.110
Molly Windley 1 1 100% 0.780
Woostercanary 1 2 50% 2.000
The Great Drinkell 1 2 50% 1.830
93vintage 1 2 50% 1.400
DDD 1 2 50% 1.090
ClareW 1 2 50% 1.000
First Wazzock 1 2 50% 0.730
Hissing Sid 1 2 50% 0.710
City-til-I-die 1 2 50% 0.700
Splutcho 1 2 50% 0.630
Feedthewolf 1 2 50% 0.630
Duncan Edwards 1 2 50% 0.630
Legend Iwan 1 2 50% 0.580
Snake Eyes 1 2 50% 0.520
Gregt 1 2 50% 0.510
Mr Angry 1 2 50% 0.510
Norfolkchance1 1 2 50% 0.510
Til1010 1 2 50% 0.300
GMF 1 2 50% 0.270
Lake District Canary 1 2 50% 0.250
Bor Bor Bor 1 2 50% 0.220
Graham Humphrey 1 2 50% 0.220
Statto28 1 2 50% 0.220
Strawman 1 2 50% 0.220
Swindoncanary 1 2 50% 0.220
Leedscanary 1 2 50% 0.180
Trent Canary 1 2 50% 0.180
Mr Apples 1 2 50% 0.160
Diesel Doris 1 2 50% 0.110
jb 1 2 50% 0.110

 

 

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Shouldn''t I be on 1.200 instead of 1.400?I''ve had 1 loss and 1 win @ 7/5 (2.4 in decimals), so unless you managed to get odds of 9/5 (2.8)....£2 in,  £2.4 out, so profitability = 2.4 / 2 = 1.2

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You get given £1 once at the start. So first week is a loss taking you to 0. Second week you won at 1.4/1 so 0 + 1.4. Next week if you win at evs you go to 2.4. A loss will take you to .4.

Hope that makes sense. It''s probably not strictly profitabity but it works ok. Any plus at the end of the season is good. But its just as important to get a win at any odds because we have to get all six to win. If we continually picked 6 at evs or better we d probably wait so long for a win people would lose interest. The table and stats are really just a tool to help the weeks picker get six. A form guide on us PUPs :)

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I see, it''s a slightly different system, but I think I''m right in saying both would look the same after one round.I think there''s a few factors at play when selecting/suggesting bets. You''re right that the table is supposed to be a guide rather than a competition in itself, but I do think that there''s inevitably some competitiveness. But at least that might throw up a good variety of choices.Personally I think there''s room in the six for one that''s nearer evens, as long as it''s got some value. There seem to be a few opportunities early in the season for this.

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The competitiveness of the table is what makes it work. It helps focus our minds especially the competitive among us. The PUP selecting the final six is in charge and free to pick whatthey want. Many do pick one or more bigger prices.

I love that you''re interested.

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I think these early weeks are not really a true reflection of how things will pan out over a 40 week season. I ask you......three women in the top four for goodness sake.How long will that last ? [:P]

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