Google Bot 3,322 Posted May 11, 2023 Stat junkies, xG lovers.. Behold the "most unlikely" championship results this season! And we made it!, against all odds, to beat Preston away by 4 goals. 0.523% Chance, apparently. Not sure it means much, but thought I'd share. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cambridgeshire canary 6,801 Posted May 11, 2023 Remember when we could score goals and win? Good times Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
repman 635 Posted May 11, 2023 Is this referring to xG though? I know sometimes people post 'unfair' results based on xG but this seems to be talking about what the probability of the result was pre-match. Considering there's on average what 2 goals a game usually then anything above that is going to be unlikely. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Terminally Yellow 2,480 Posted May 11, 2023 I absolutely LOVE this. I'm probably going to sit and nerd out over this later. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Google Bot 3,322 Posted May 11, 2023 48 minutes ago, repman said: Is this referring to xG though? Yeah, similar concept really, hence why Preston appear a few times as their xG and xGA was so low for a period. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Google Bot 3,322 Posted May 11, 2023 38 minutes ago, Terminally Yellow said: I absolutely LOVE this. I'm probably going to sit and nerd out over this later. Could you stream it? I love a bit of nerd voyeurism. You have to promise not to acknowledge the camera is on though, as it spoils it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Terminally Yellow 2,480 Posted May 11, 2023 24 minutes ago, Google Bot said: Could you stream it? I love a bit of nerd voyeurism. You have to promise not to acknowledge the camera is on though, as it spoils it. You'd have to subscribe to my only fans first. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Making Plans 940 Posted May 12, 2023 That 4-0 win away from home in January looks even more unlikely now Nevermind unlikely, more like impossible Share this post Link to post Share on other sites