RodneyTrottersFC 0 Posted March 23, 2014 OK. I''m making a conscious effort to be less verbose. So any questions: ask. Any issues: email me your complaint ;-)I think Cardiff and Fulham are screwed now (they both need 2 wins and then some [plus us losing] to catch us up) and through much consideration: 18th place is between us at 13th and everyone currently below us to Sunderland @18th.Compare us with these 5 other teams and we actually come up top! P W D L F A GD Pt PPG1 Norwich 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15 1.882 Swansea 8 3 3 2 11 6 +5 12 1.503 WBA 7 3 1 3 11 11 --- 10 1.43 4 Palace 9 3 3 3 9 9 --- 12 1.335 West Ham 7 2 3 2 8 7 +1 9 1.296 Sunderland 7 0 3 4 1 12 -11 3 0.43I know that this is just looking at versus each other.... but that does give a good indication of who is the "better" team and ergo should finish higher... plus: they''re all below us so you know their season performances is inferior to ours. Even looking at the league progress chart is reassuring: we''re pretty consistently above West Ham, Sunderland and Palace! We stand on 32 points with 21 points available.... seeing how the league is this year: we could expect a record low survival points tally... say 35 .... so if we give an extremely generous worst case scenario as lose 4 and draw 3 ... that may even be enough to scrape survival still! Sunderland''s 3 games in hand are Man C, Liverpool and WBA. Plus, my ok (ish) accuracy (31 games from 69 right - 44.93%) now means that we are back out of the bottom 3 if my remaining predictions turned out right! I made my predictions with depleted faith and as a means to see "what if we lose last 5" with 15 games to go.... I was surprised we ended up 13th with 36 points... It may seem I was involuntarily harsh on others to suit my agenda but I wasn''t.... turns out there''s a lot of correlations between my predictions and how it''s turning out... anyway .... here is my final table after results in mind.... (+/- league position from original then points tally).= 01 Man C 88 -3= 02 Chelsea 86 -1= 03 Arsenal 81 -2+2 04 Liverpool 78 +6------------------------------1 05 Spurs 71 -4-1 06 Man U 70 -4= 07 Everton 65 -1= 08 Southampt. 55 -1= 09 Newcastle 52 =+110 Hull 43 +3+511 West Ham 41 +7+312 Villa 40 +6+713 Stoke 39 +9-4 14 Swansea 37 -4-3 15 Palace 37 =-2 16 Sunderland 34 -1-4 17 NORWICH 34 -2------------------------------1 18 Cardiff 34 =-1 19 Fulham 33 =-1 20 WBA 32 +1Well there it is .... I still want Hughton gone but as to whether I think getting rid now will actually do any harm: I''ll wait until after the next 2 games before settling my mind again .... damn Hughton and his pull-it-out-of-the-bag-ability lolWhile our home form is what''s saving us (not lost in last 6 and conceded once), our away form is 19th (not won in last 7)! What''s present in both though is the struggle (usually!) for goals...5 goals in our last 6 away games (11 from all 15).... and 5 goals from last 6 home games (10 from all 16) .... not great! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Katie Borkins 1 Posted March 23, 2014 Gut feelings dressed up as science. Reckon I like it. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RodneyTrottersFC 0 Posted March 23, 2014 Yeah... science batch hahaOn thinking about it.... It is a bit like science: research and experiment to draw conclusions from your theories Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RodneyTrottersFC 0 Posted March 24, 2014 Anyway... nothing "gut feeling" about the first part ... very reassuring that was, I thought Share this post Link to post Share on other sites