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RodneyTrottersFC

How things stand (in reality and in my crazy world)...

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Warning: I will mock you mercifully if you just comment the same boring insults. It''s simple: you can see this is long... So why read it if just to slag it off? I offer no guarantees anyone will find this remotely useful or entertaining.

I predicted we''d beat Villa... I really thought we''d get our first back to back win, especially after being stunned by 4 points from 6 from Man C and Spurs. Villa were 1st of 2 bottom 11 teams to get maximum points from us... the other being Fulham.

Had we have won, other results really went our way... We could have gone 11th (incedently my predictions had us 11th too...), but because we lost, Villa, Stoke, Swansea and Palace all gained points on us...

Here is the current table

Played Pts

01 Chelsea 28 63

02 Liverpool 28 59

03 Arsenal 28 59

04 Man C 26 57

--------------------------------

05 Spurs 28 53

06 Everton 27 48

07 Man U 27 45

08 Newcastle 28 43

09 Southampt. 28 39

10 West Ham 28 31

11 Villa 28 31

12 Hull 28 30

13 Stoke 28 30

14 Swansea 28 29

15 NORWICH 28 28

16 Palace 27 27

17 West Brom 27 25

----------------------------------

18 Sunderland 26 24

19 Cardiff 28 22

20 Fulham 28 21

Very concerning that the 3 below us to 18th could mathmatically put us in the relegation zone.

Some may know, at the 23 game point... I made 150 guesses to make a worst case scenario (lose last 5) prediction ... It had us finishing 13th with 36 points! So far... My accuracy has been .... Not awful... 19/46 (41.3%)... And thanks to the beauty of football mathes, I can be right or close from being wrong...

This is how my predictions had the table looking now... Complete with the difference from reality... One thing some mud slinger called me was stupid... I can modestly say I''m not: I had to take away the correct points for the games in hand haha... Anyway

Played Pts

-2 01 Arsenal 28 63 -4

+1 02 Chelsea 28 63 =

-1 03 Man C 26 60 -3

-1 04 Spurs 28 54 -1

------------------------------------

+3 05 Liverpool 28 53 +6

-1 06 Man U 27 49 -4

+1 07 Everton 27 49 -1

= 08 Newcastle 28 42 +1

= 09 Southampt. 28 40 -1

-4 10 Swansea 28 32 -3

-4 11 NORWICH 28 30 -2

+1 12 Villa 28 28 +3

+1 13 Hull 28 27 +3

-3 14 West Brom 27 26 -1

-3 15 Sunderland 26 25 -1

= 16 Palace 27 24 +3

+4 17 Stoke 28 24 +6

------------------------------------

-1 18 Cardiff 28 24 -2

+9 19 West Ham 28 23 +8

= 20 Fulham 28 23 -2

So I was 3 points or less out on 15 out of 20 teams... Unfortunately though, top 9 teams totalled -19 points whereas bottom 11 teams totalled +19 points... But we''re "behind scedule". It''s interesting to note the correlation with real life: getting wins become more important not just in real life... But to keep us up in my prediction table too... Here, once again, is how my 150 guesses panned out...

Pts

01 Man C 91

02 Chelsea 87

03 Arsenal 83

04 Spurs 75

------------------------

05 Man U 74

06 Liverpool 72

07 Everton 66

08 Southampt. 56

09 Newcastle 52

10 Swansea 41

11 Hull 40

12 Palace 37

13 NORWICH 36

14 Sunderland 35

15 Villa 34

16 Palace 34

17 Cardiff 34

-----------------------

18 Fulham 33

19 West Brom 31

20 Stoke 30

Here is how it looks with results in mind....

Pts

= 01 Man C 88

= 02 Chelsea 87

= 03 Arsenal 79

+2 04 Liverpool 78

-----------------------------

-1 05 Spurs 74

-1 06 Man U 70

= 07 Everton 65

= 08 Southampt. 55

= 09 Newcastle 53

+1 10 Hull 43

+5 11 West Ham 42

= 12 Palace 40

-3 13 Swansea 38

+1 14 Villa 37

+5 15 Stoke 36

-2 16 Sunderland 34

-4 17 NORWICH 34

-----------------------------

-1 18 Cardiff 32

-1 19 Fulham 31

-1 20 West Brom 30

I would still take getting 100% accuracy from now on as it keeps us up... Or at least my innaccuracy working in our favour for a change.

Just to keep you up to date... Here is the current form table (last 6 games)... And how it compares to how my predictions had it (again, games in hand considered)...

Actual Predicted

01 Liverpool Man C

02 Chelsea Chelsea

03 Man C Arsenal

04 West Ham Man U

05 Sunderland Spurs

06 Spurs Swansea

07 Palace Sunderland

08 Swansea Liverpool

09 Man U Southampt.

10 Arsenal Everton

11 Stoke NORWICH

12 Southampt. Palace

13 Hull Newcastle

14 Villa Hull

15 Everton West Ham

16 Newcastle Villa

17 NORWICH West Brom

18 West Brom Fulham

19 Cardiff Cardiff

20 Fulham Stoke

Couldn''t have been more wrong with Stoke and West Ham lol.... Kinda worries me about playing Stoke now... We did well to be one of 2 teams to win at theirs but.... Things are so bad... I just fear we might not get any points from them this time.

In my predictions, Stoke was supposed to be our first back to back win... If we win, it''ll be our first maximum points under Hughton''s tenure... If not, just 2 cracks left at it: Southampton and West Brom. If we don''t win, it places more importance on getting wins in our futre games. Also, as I predicted 3 points, anything less and we''re at least 2 more points "behind scedule" .... This was also our last win in my WCS as I gave us draws with Sunderland, Swansea and West Brom... While I don''t THINK we''ll actually get no points from last 5 (maybe Fulham, Man U and Arsenal) ... Right now... I wouldn''t bet against it either :-/

Here is my predictions for next round of fixtures...

Norwich 1 - 1 Stoke Original Prediction: HW

┬░Just cant see us winning :''-(

West Brom 1 - 2 Man U OP: AW

Palace 0 - 1 Southampton OP: AW

Cardiff 3 - 3 Fulham OP: D

┬░Massive game for them and us! I may have let hopes influence it still being a draw... I would say Cardiff have the edge...

Chelsea 4 - 1 Spurs OP: HW

I hope at least even one person reads this and appreciates it or maybe even likes it ... But I''m still happy if not lol... This just started as a little project and the whole thing just grabbed me and kept my idle hours occupied... And just thought I''d share :-)

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