Somerset Canary 0 Posted February 21, 2011 Thought I would have a go at predicting the top 6 of the table by looking at each teams remaining fixtures. Obviously they aren''t going to all be right but I''ll try and get as close as possible.NORWICH:Doncaster (h) - win - 3ptsBarnsley (a) - win - 3ptsPreston (h) - win - 3ptsLeicester (a) - lose - 0ptsBristol City (h) - win - 3ptsHull (a) - draw - 1ptScunthorpe (h) - win - 3ptsSwansea (a) - draw - 1ptWatford (a) - draw - 1ptN Forest (h) - draw - 1ptIpswich (a) - draw - 1ptDerby (h) - win - 3ptsPortsmouth (a) - draw - 1ptCoventry (h) - win - 3ptsTotal from remaining games - 27ptsQPR: Ipswich (h) - win - 3ptsMiddlesbrough (a) - draw - 1ptLeicester (h) - draw - 1ptMillwall (a) - draw - 1ptCrystal Palace (h) - win - 3ptsDoncaster (a) - win - 3ptsSheffield Utd (h) - win - 3ptsScunthorpe (a) - win - 3ptsBarnsley (a) - draw - 1ptDerby (h) - win - 3ptsCardiff (a) - draw - 1ptHull (h) - draw - 1ptWatford (a) - win - 3ptsLeeds (h) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaining games - 28ptsCARDIFF:Leicester (h) - draw - 1ptHull (a) - lose - 0ptsIpswich (h) - draw - 1ptCrystal Palace (a) - draw - 1ptBarnsley (h) - win - 3ptsMillwall (a) - draw - 1ptDerby (h) - win - 3ptsDoncaster (a) - draw - 1ptSheffield Utd (a) - win - 3ptsPortsmouth (h) - win - 3ptsQPR (h) - draw - 1ptPreston (a) - win - 3ptsMiddlesbrough (h) - win - 3ptsBurnley (a) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaining games - 25ptsSWANSEA:Coventry (a) - draw - 1ptLeeds (h) - draw - 1ptScunthorpe (a) - win - 3ptsWatford (h) - win - 3ptsDerby (a) - win - 3ptsN Forest (h) - draw - 1ptPreston (a) - win - 3ptsNorwich (h) - draw - 1ptHull (h) - draw - 1ptBurnley (a) - draw - 1ptPortsmouth (a) - draw - 1ptIpswich (h) - draw - 1ptMillwall (a) - draw - 1ptSheffield Utd (h) - win - 3ptsTotal from remaining games - 24ptsN FOREST:Preston (h) - win - 3ptsMillwall (a) - draw - 1ptMiddlesbrough (a) - draw - 1ptHull (h) - win - 3ptsSheffield Utd (a) - win - 3ptsDoncaster (h) - win - 3ptsSwansea (a) - draw - 1ptLeeds (a) - draw - 1ptReading (h) - win - 3ptsBurnley (h) - draw - 1ptNorwich (a) - draw - 1ptLeicester (h) - draw - 1ptBristol City (a) - win - 3ptsScunthorpe (h) - win - 3ptsCrystal Palace (a) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaining games - 29ptsLEEDS:Barnsley (h) - win - 3ptsSwansea (a) - draw - 1ptDoncaster (h) - win - 3ptsPreston (a) - win - 3ptsIpswich (h) - draw - 1ptSheffield Utd (a) - win - 3ptsN Forest (h) - draw - 1ptMillwall (a) - draw - 1ptDerby (a) - win - 3ptsWatford (h) - win - 3ptsReading (h) - draw - 1ptCrystal Palace (a) - draw - 1ptBurnley (h) - draw - 1ptQPR (a) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaing games - 26ptsLEICESTER:Cardiff (a) - draw - 1ptCoventry (h) - win - 3ptsQPR (a) - draw - 1ptNorwich (h) - win - 3ptsScunthorpe (a) - win - 3ptsPortsmouth (h) - win - 3ptsMiddlesbrough (a) - draw - 1ptBurnley (h) - draw - 1ptCrystal Palace (h) - win - 3ptsReading (a) - draw - 1ptN Forest (a) - draw - 1ptWatford (h) - win - 3ptsDoncaster (a) - win - 3ptsIpswich (h) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaining games - 28ptsBURNLEY:Preston (a) - win - 3ptsCrystal Palace (h) - win - 3ptsHull (a) - lose - 0ptsMillwall (h) - draw - 1ptCoventry (h) - win - 3ptsBristol City (a) - draw - 1ptIpswich (h) - draw - 1ptLeicester (a) - draw - 1ptSwansea (h) - draw - 1ptMiddlesbrough (h) - win - 3ptsDerby (a) - win - 3ptsPortsmouth (h) - win - 3ptsLeeds (a) - draw - 1ptCardiff (h) - draw - 1ptTotal from remaining games - 25ptsHere''s the final table then...1. Qpr 89 pts2.Forest 85 pts ---------------------------3. Norwich 82 pts4.Swansea 80 pts5. Cardiff 80 pts6. Leeds 79 pts---------------------------7.Leicester 79 pts8.Burnley 72 pts* used the current goal difference to split sides on the same points.Wow, that took a long time! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ricardo 7,239 Posted February 21, 2011 So, on those results all City need to do to finish second is beat Forest at CR.I can see no reason why they won''t. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
colneycanary 0 Posted February 21, 2011 It''s impossible to predict who finishes where exactly. It only takes one upset result and that changes everything. All we know is, it''s going to very exciting and close Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ricardo 7,239 Posted February 21, 2011 It seems strange to me that out of all those remaining games only City and Burnley are going to lose one.I would say the chances of that happening are nil. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
colneycanary 0 Posted February 21, 2011 [quote user="ricardo"]So, on those results all City need to do to finish second is beat Forest at CR.I can see no reason why they won''t.[/quote]No Ricardo because we would both have the same points but we would be third on goal difference Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Somerset Canary 0 Posted February 21, 2011 I am fully aware that a lot of those will be incorrect. I predicted them by what is most likely to happen. I agree with most people, in that it is to close to call and that the league might not finish like that but i was just having a bit of fun. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ricardo 7,239 Posted February 21, 2011 [quote user="colneycanary"][quote user="ricardo"]So, on those results all City need to do to finish second is beat Forest at CR.I can see no reason why they won''t.[/quote]No Ricardo because we would both have the same points but we would be third on goal difference[/quote]So you have even worked out the goal differences?With 14 games left it only takes one good victory or one good defeat to swing those differences right round .The other thing I notice is that when any of the top teams play each other it is without exception forecast as a draw. That just aint going to happen.Its far to early to say anything other than its likely to go to the last game with probably 4 or 5 teams in with a shout on the last day. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Excited Canary 18 Posted February 21, 2011 You''re saying that we''re only gonna lose once between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Leeds won''t lose between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Cardiff are only gonna lose once between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Leicester won''t lose between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Forest won''t lose between now and the end of the season?You''re saying QPR won''t lose between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Swansea won''t lose between now and the end of the season?You''re saying Burnley will only lose once between now and the end of the season?That is just really unrealistic. The run-in (especially the Championship) is by far the hardest part of the season. The pressure is on every game, squads are thin on the ground, lower teams are fighting for their lives etc. I can guarantee all those teams will lose at least once, probably twice. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
YellowOne1 0 Posted February 21, 2011 Out of all the remaining fixtures you have predicted 3 losses , thats not going to be even close . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yobocop 1,083 Posted February 21, 2011 In my blog I said we''d finish with 83 points...I maintain that wouldn''t be enough for automatic promotion. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Power Hamster 0 Posted February 22, 2011 I think the OP is being highly optimistic with all the leading teams points totals, and I think Leicester would count themselves very unlucky if they did actually get 79 points and still failed to make the play-offs. I have just checked all the past year''s final tables (I know, but I can''t get to sleep and there''s nothing on the telly) and in this division the only team ever to get as many as 75 and not get into the top six, was Burnley in 2002 which was the year we beat them to sixth place on goal difference. Last season 70 was eough for a play-off place, and I don''t see this season being much different. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill 1,788 Posted February 22, 2011 I think 83 may well be enough for automatic. At this stage last year the top six were not so close and the points for the top two were higher.I predict we will hit 80 plus points.I can understand where the original poster is coming from. Judging each game of the basis of higher v lower home winhigher v higher home win/drawwhich seems reasonable if you are look at it as what is probable. However the game does not go that way as (below) proveForest losing at ScunthorpeQPR drawing at PrestonWhat I still say is what I said before Xmas. It will go to the last weekend. Whoever is there on the day wins it - ruddy obvious I know, but let me explain. There will be constant chopping and changing and it will not be so clear cut that the top two are up, and two or three of the play off places are decided a week or two before hand.I would also add that it is going to take something to have another two seasons like this last two - and we still have nearly a third of this one to go.Plenty more fun to come yet ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yorkshire Canary 118 Posted February 22, 2011 I think Norwich will get about another 20 pts putting us on 75 which will be a play off spot and a great achievement Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
paul moy 235 Posted February 22, 2011 So, Leicester will not make the top six ? I''m pretty sure they will, and could well make top 2 bearing in mind their form and squad. QPR will very likely lose to Leeds and Leicester amongst others due to their continuing goals drought, and will drop out of the top two IMO, and the team to drop out of the top six could well be Cardiff. Time will tell...... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
scrappy33 0 Posted February 22, 2011 Ipswich draw 6 out of 7. surely they will be losses? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites