Southampton have some interesting games v our competitors

[Tangible Fixed Assets anyone? 0]

Southampton have got some interesting home games coming up:

13/3/10  Leeds United

16/3/10 Swindon (just before our game at Swindon)

20/3/10 Bletchley (MK) Dons

10/4/10 Charlton

Hopefully the Saints will do the business against Leeds, Swindon and Charlton.

 

 

[Danny G 0]

Saints looking good now . I think they will make the playoffs and come up with leeds and us .

[Smudger 0]

If they can edge their way in to the play-offs then you would have to put your money on them  to win them and gain promotion.  I think it might be a case of too little too late for them this year though, but expect them to steamroller this league next season if they are still down here.

[The Young One 0]

We should be lucky that we haven''t got to play Southampton again this season, they are on a roll 5:0 ve Huddersfield what a cracking result for us, the best Southampton can hope for is the Play off''s and they have to play leeds and Swindon which I expect them to win which will help our cause for the top 2, I wouldn''t fancy our chances of being in the Play off''s with them so we need top 2, I think Southampton will reach the play off''s and win

[K Lo 221]

Would it make any differnce if we did have to play them again? We only got 1 point from the last two times we played them.

[Tim Allman 1]

Southampton won''t get near the playoffs and I wouldn''t be surprised to see their results tail off after the JPT final at the end of March.

 

[O.T.B.C 0]

I always thought they would sneak into the playoffs, but they had a dodgy run around Xmas. If they get there, which now is tough, they will walk it.

[ellis206 0]

[quote user="Danny G"]Saints looking good now . I think they will make the playoffs and come up with leeds and us .[/quote]No chance, to far away from 6th place and they are way to inconsistent, should go up next year though.

[paul moy 235]

[quote user="ellis206"][quote user="Danny G"]Saints looking good now . I think they will make the playoffs and come up with leeds and us .[/quote]

No chance, to far away from 6th place and they are way to inconsistent, should go up next year though.
[/quote]

As long as it''s mathematically possible I wouldn''t rule them out. 14 points off Huddersfield having beaten them 5-0 this week, with two games in hand, so if they win those they would be 8 off with 13 to play. In this league it is definitely possible.  

[paul moy 235]

correction.. 8 off  with 12 to play, but still feasible. 

[Its only my opinion 0]

considering the gap between us and leeds at one point and we closed that gap in no time, i think the is a realistic chance of them just getting there.Just hope we aint in there with them!

[Croydon Canary 0]

Southampton are now the best team in the division and could quite possibily make the top six.Absolute nailed-on for promotion next season if they fail this time.

[Joanna Grey 0]

[quote user="Croydon Canary"]Southampton are now the best team in the division and could quite possibily make the top six.Absolute nailed-on for promotion next season if they fail this time.[/quote]

I think you will find that Millwall are currently the best team in the division, Southampton lie third behind us....

[blahblahblah 2]

[quote user="Its only my opinion"]considering the gap between us and leeds at one point and we closed that gap in no time, i think the is a realistic chance of them just getting there.Just hope we aint in there with them![/quote]It''s highly unlikely that Southampton will reach the play-offs, when you consider current form :This is the top 6 of the current form table for the last 6 matches.

1	Millwall	6	5	0	1	3	1	8	3	+5	15	2.50
2	Southampton	6	4	2	0	4	1	15	2	+13	14	2.33
3	Colchester United	6	4	1	1	3	0	10	6	+4	13	2.17
4	Swindon Town	6	3	3	0	2	1	13	6	+7	12	2.00
5	Norwich City	6	4	0	2	1	1	8	7	+1	12	2.00
6	Huddersfield Town	6	3	2	1	2	1	10	10	0	11	1.83

And this is the top 10 of the current table :

	P		W	D	L	F	A		W	D	L	F	A		W	D	L	F	A		GD	Pt
1	Norwich City	34		22	6	6	70	36		13	2	2	39	18		9	4	4	31	18		+34	72
2	Leeds United	33		19	10	4	57	27		11	5	1	32	11		8	5	3	25	16		+30	67
3	Charlton Athletic	34		17	12	5	59	38		10	5	2	34	19		7	7	3	25	19		+21	63
4	Colchester United	33		18	8	7	51	34		13	1	2	27	14		5	7	5	24	20		+17	62
5	Swindon Town	32		16	12	4	53	38		11	5	1	33	16		5	7	3	20	22		+15	60
6	Huddersfield Town	34		16	10	8	60	40		10	7	0	41	14		6	3	8	19	26		+20	58
7	Millwall	33		16	10	7	47	32		12	4	1	29	11		4	6	6	18	21		+15	58
8	Milton Keynes Dons	33		15	4	14	47	47		8	3	5	26	20		7	1	9	21	27		0	49
9	Bristol Rovers	33		15	3	15	42	49		11	1	5	26	19		4	2	10	16	30		-7	48
10	Southampton	32		14	12	6	59	33		9	4	2	35	14		5	8	4	24	19		+26	44

If Southampton gain half a point a game over 6th placed Huddersfield on average, as they have done in the last 6 matches, they will have gained 7 points over their remaining 14 matches.  The gap between them and Huddersfield is 16 points.  Even when you consider games in hand, the gap is just too big for them to bridge.  Not to mention that they are yet to play the better teams in this division.  And when you consider that Swindon, Millwall, and Colchester are form teams too, you''d have to look at Charlton and Huddersfield as the two to drop to enable Southampton to get into the top 6.

[paul moy 235]

[quote user="blahblahblah"][quote user="Its only my opinion"]considering the gap between us and leeds at one point and we closed that gap in no time, i think the is a realistic chance of them just getting there.Just hope we aint in there with them![/quote]

It''s highly unlikely that Southampton will reach the play-offs, when you consider current form :

This is the top 6 of the current form table for the last 6 matches.

1	Millwall	6	5	0	1	3	1	8	3	+5	15	2.50
2	Southampton	6	4	2	0	4	1	15	2	+13	14	2.33
3	Colchester United	6	4	1	1	3	0	10	6	+4	13	2.17
4	Swindon Town	6	3	3	0	2	1	13	6	+7	12	2.00
5	Norwich City	6	4	0	2	1	1	8	7	+1	12	2.00
6	Huddersfield Town	6	3	2	1	2	1	10	10	0	11	1.83

And this is the top 10 of the current table :

	P		W	D	L	F	A		W	D	L	F	A		W	D	L	F	A		GD	Pt
1	Norwich City	34		22	6	6	70	36		13	2	2	39	18		9	4	4	31	18		+34	72
2	Leeds United	33		19	10	4	57	27		11	5	1	32	11		8	5	3	25	16		+30	67
3	Charlton Athletic	34		17	12	5	59	38		10	5	2	34	19		7	7	3	25	19		+21	63
4	Colchester United	33		18	8	7	51	34		13	1	2	27	14		5	7	5	24	20		+17	62
5	Swindon Town	32		16	12	4	53	38		11	5	1	33	16		5	7	3	20	22		+15	60
6	Huddersfield Town	34		16	10	8	60	40		10	7	0	41	14		6	3	8	19	26		+20	58
7	Millwall	33		16	10	7	47	32		12	4	1	29	11		4	6	6	18	21		+15	58
8	Milton Keynes Dons	33		15	4	14	47	47		8	3	5	26	20		7	1	9	21	27		0	49
9	Bristol Rovers	33		15	3	15	42	49		11	1	5	26	19		4	2	10	16	30		-7	48
10	Southampton	32		14	12	6	59	33		9	4	2	35	14		5	8	4	24	19		+26	44

If Southampton gain half a point a game over 6th placed Huddersfield on average, as they have done in the last 6 matches, they will have gained 7 points over their remaining 14 matches.  The gap between them and Huddersfield is 16 points.  Even when you consider games in hand, the gap is just too big for them to bridge.  Not to mention that they are yet to play the better teams in this division.  And when you consider that Swindon, Millwall, and Colchester are form teams too, you''d have to look at Charlton and Huddersfield as the two to drop to enable Southampton to get into the top 6.

[/quote]

I remember very similar arguments put forward why we would not catch Leeds this season, a month or so back, while I was arguing that we would. Look what happened !!

Past form does not always bear relation to future form, as crucial injuries and loss of form can happen.  The bottom line is that Southampton need to win their two matches in hand and then acquire effectively 3 more wins than Huddersfield can get out of 12 games.   

[blahblahblah 2]

My five pound note says that they don;t make the play-offs, what does yours say ? [:)]

[paul moy 235]

[quote user="blahblahblah"]My five pound note says that they don;t make the play-offs, what does yours say ? [:)]
[/quote]

If the odds offered are good, I may be tempted to have a wager.

[blahblahblah 2]

[quote]Past form does not always bear relation to future form, as crucial

injuries and loss of form can happen.  The bottom line is that

Southampton need to win their two matches in hand and then

acquire effectively 3 more wins than Huddersfield can get out of 12

games.   [/quote]I should have said that I would agree with you, if it weren''t for 4 of the top 6 in the top 6 form spots.  A loss of form to Swindon, Millwall, and Huddersfield seems highly unlikely, and the teams above them look to have enough of a cushion.

[blahblahblah 2]

[quote user="paul moy"]

[quote user="blahblahblah"]My five pound note says that they don;t make the play-offs, what does yours say ? [:)][/quote]

If the odds offered are good, I may be tempted to have a wager.

[/quote]bet365 are offering 7-1 on a Southampton promotion.  For a top 6 spot, I''d guess that 5-1 would be fair.