Yorkshire Canary 118 Posted February 3, 2010 Year in year out a haul of 90 points is normally good enough to get automatic promotion from which ever Division. This makes the maths simple for us another 27 points from our last 17 games. Of course we should not be complacent but the way we have and are playing 9 wins from those 17 games is i suggest probable rather than possible, it even allows for quite a few banana skins and yes i think we could easily lose 3 or 4 games on the way given a reasonably hard run in. Lets look at Charlton to get that figure they need to win 11 and draw 1 of their last 17 highly inprobable. I guess they will be 3rd if they are lucky on low 80s at best and i fancy Swindon for the playoffs. Reasons to be optimistic. I do think we will drop points at Millwall but i also expect Charlton to do the same at Swindon Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wembley_Canary 0 Posted February 3, 2010 If we match the form we showed for our previous 17 games we will finish the season with 120+ points. Of course it''s unlikely we can keep such an incredible run of form going until the end of the season, but it does put into prospective just how good we have been sice the Leeds defeat. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
singing canary 0 Posted February 3, 2010 and that was just bad luck we lost that , i dont feel we deserve to lose that one to be honest . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
blahblahblah 2 Posted February 3, 2010 Isn''t it nice to have a 7 point gap over third place ? [:)]. If we went 4 games on the trot without winning, Charlton might have a chance of catching us. Looking at the fixture list, I can''t see where we would go 4 matches without a win. Let''s just hope that we keep our key players fit. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Canary Man of Kent 0 Posted February 3, 2010 [quote user="Wembley_Canary"]If we match the form we showed for our previous 17 games we will finish the season with 120+ points. Of course it''s unlikely we can keep such an incredible run of form going until the end of the season, but it does put into prospective just how good we have been sice the Leeds defeat.[/quote]Crickey! Do you get bonus points for winning a certain number of games then?! I think if you extrapolate our current form we''d get 110 points.63 + (15 x 3) + (2 x 1) = 110 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wandsworth Canary 0 Posted February 3, 2010 I am going for 34 more to give us a total of 97 for the season. Predict 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
I am a Banana 0 Posted February 3, 2010 [quote user="blahblahblah"]Isn''t it nice to have a 7 point gap over third place ? [:)]. If we went 4 games on the trot without winning, Charlton might have a chance of catching us. Looking at the fixture list, I can''t see where we would go 4 matches without a win. Let''s just hope that we keep our key players fit.[/quote]swindon can leap frog charlton! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DOGGER 0 Posted February 3, 2010 I think 95 points will get us certain of top 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
The 12th Devine 0 Posted February 3, 2010 I posted this table before but if you missed it or don''t mind repetitive strain, here are the past five years of League One automatic promotion points tallies... 91 would have been the highest second place finish, had Leeds not been deducted 15 points.2004/051. Luton 982. Hull 862005/061. Southend 822. Colchester 792006/071. Scunthorpe 912. Bristol City 852007/081. Swansea 982. Notts Forest 82* Leeds deducted 15 points and would have finished 2nd on 91 points2008/091. Leicester 982. Peterboro 89 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
aitch 0 Posted February 3, 2010 I will settle for 7 defeats. As long as we win the other 10. We don''t want too many draws. You can find yourself thinking ''that wasn''t a bad point'', but it''s amazing how quickly the points drain away. But you have to say, on current form, 90 points looks a real possibility. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CambridgeCanary 0 Posted February 3, 2010 [quote user="I am a Banana"][quote user="blahblahblah"]Isn''t it nice to have a 7 point gap over third place ? [:)]. If we went 4 games on the trot without winning, Charlton might have a chance of catching us. Looking at the fixture list, I can''t see where we would go 4 matches without a win. Let''s just hope that we keep our key players fit.[/quote]swindon can leap frog charlton![/quote]If Swindon win their three games in hand (IF!!!!)they will still be 6 points behind us and have a goal difference of 8 plus however many they win by against our 34.I am not complacent but Swindon are hardly a clear and present danger Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Essex_Canary 6 Posted February 3, 2010 [quote user="aitch"]I will settle for 7 defeats. As long as we win the other 10. We don''t want too many draws. You can find yourself thinking ''that wasn''t a bad point'', but it''s amazing how quickly the points drain away. But you have to say, on current form, 90 points looks a real possibility.[/quote]45 points would definately be enough regardless of what anyone else does, but I think 30-33 is fairly well nailed on to be good enough - I''ll pessimistically predict 9 wins (brighton, southend, oldham, yeovil, tranmere, stockport, mcdons, gillingham & carlisle), 4 draws (southampton, leeds, orient, brizzle rowvers), 4 defeats (millwall, uddersfield, swindon, charlton) for a grand total of 94 points! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites