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Do we need 21 more points to stay up ??

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I think we need at least 21 pts from these games which would give us 52 points. If my predictions are right we''ll end up on 51 pts which could be very borderline and I''ve been a bit optistic in a couple of games.

Whats your thoughts?


Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose
Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Draw
Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose
Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Win
Sat Feb 28 Coventry H Win
Tue Mar 3 QPR A Lose
Sat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw
Tue Mar 10 Cardiff H Draw
Sat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win
Sat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose
Sat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Win
Sat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose
Mon Apr 13 Watford H Win
Sun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw
Sat Apr 25 Reading H Lose
Sun May 3 Charlton A Draw

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[quote user="cityangel"]

I think we need at least 21 pts from these games which would give us 52 points. If my predictions are right we''ll end up on 51 pts which could be very borderline and I''ve been a bit optistic in a couple of games.

Whats your thoughts?


Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose
Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Draw
Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose
Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Win
Sat Feb 28 Coventry H Win
Tue Mar 3 QPR A Lose
Sat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw
Tue Mar 10 Cardiff H Draw
Sat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win
Sat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose
Sat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Win
Sat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose
Mon Apr 13 Watford H Win
Sun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw
Sat Apr 25 Reading H Lose
Sun May 3 Charlton A Draw

[/quote]

This is how I see it...

 

Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose
Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Lose

Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose
Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Draw

Sat Feb 28 Coventry H Win
Tue Mar 3 QPR A Lose
Sat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw
Tue Mar 10 Cardiff H Lose

Sat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win
Sat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose
Sat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Draw

Sat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose
Mon Apr 13 Watford H Draw

Sun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw
Sat Apr 25 Reading H Lose
Sun May 3 Charlton A Draw

Which means according to me we are really in the doo doo.

 

 

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next five games can see us picking up 10pts... yeah between 50 -54 points should be enough... can''t see us losing anymore home games... even v reading. can see us beating blackpool and charlton away!

30pts from last 16 games... us on

easily safe!!!!

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19 will be enough because there will be 3 teams below 50 points this season.

Charlton (certs) and perm any 2 from 15th place downwards.

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50 points will more than likely be for 18th position than 21st this season.  I certainly can''t see Watford or Southampton getting 7 wins from the rest of the season.It should be our minimum target though - and with a centre back, the new boy Killen (who was scoring for fun at Hibs), and some dogged determination to grind out results, it should be easily possible.

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[quote user="cityangel"]

I think we need at least 21 pts from these games which would give us 52 points. If my predictions are right we''ll end up on 51 pts which could be very borderline and I''ve been a bit optistic in a couple of games.

Whats your thoughts?


Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose
Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Draw
Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose
Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Win
Sat Feb 28 Coventry H Win
Tue Mar 3 QPR A Lose
Sat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw
Tue Mar 10 Cardiff H Draw
Sat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win
Sat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose
Sat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Win
Sat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose
Mon Apr 13 Watford H Win
Sun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw
Sat Apr 25 Reading H Lose
Sun May 3 Charlton A Draw

[/quote]

Away games look awful, I can see us getting a lucky win and a draw from them ( 4 points ). I am not including the last game Charlton away. Homes games will produce 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats ( 14 points ). Thats a total of 49 points ( oh dear ). That means I think it will all go down to the last game of the season, and when was the last time we won in London ? 2003 ?[:(]

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 Have made this point before - in

both 2005/6 and 2006/7 just 43 pts would have ensured survival. That

could mean we need just 12 more pts from the 16 games remaining
. But

that would apply to a lot of clubs and just one point could decide it. Personally I think any club with 46 pts will be safe this year..

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[quote user="CT "]Even though I''m not very positive at the best of times I still cant see us going down
[/quote]

What the hell is a young man like you posting on here on a Saturday night? No beer no girls?

That''s for sad old B............like me!!

CT you need a make over and a new life!!

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[quote user="The Butler"]

[quote user="CT "]Even though I''m not very positive at the best of times I still cant see us going down[/quote]

What the hell is a young man like you posting on here on a Saturday night? No beer no girls?

That''s for sad old B............like me!!

CT you need a make over and a new life!!

[/quote]Why the hell are you judging me on an internet messageboard?Just because my peers like going out and getting smashed every weekend doesnt mean I do...

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[quote user="CT "]Oh and I''m learning to drive BTW so things may be easier once I pass my test[;)]
[/quote]

I never judge CT. If you are happy then that''s fine by all.

Have a good evening young sir[:D]

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[quote user="CT "]Even though I''m not very positive at the best of times I still cant see us going down
[/quote]

 

So whats your predictions for the games listed then?

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Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose                      Draw                            WinX 7                     So thats about 26 points?Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Draw                 Win                               Draw x5Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose                      Lose                              Lose x 3

Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Win                      WinSat Feb 28 Coventry H Win                      WinTue Mar 3 QPR A Lose                            DrawSat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw                    LoseTue Mar 10 Cardiff H Draw                      WinSat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win                      WinSat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose                 LoseSat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Win                  WinSat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose                      DrawMon Apr 13 Watford H Win                          DrawSun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw                            WINSat Apr 25 Reading H Lose                              drawSun May 3 Charlton A Draw                             Win

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[quote user="CT "]Tue Feb 3 Wolves A Lose                      Draw                            WinX 7                     So thats about 26 points?
Sat Feb 7 Bristol City H Draw                 Win                               Draw x5
Sat Feb 14 Preston A Lose                      Lose                              Lose x 3

Sat Feb 21 Burnley H Win                      Win
Sat Feb 28 Coventry H Win                      Win
Tue Mar 3 QPR A Lose                            Draw
Sat Mar 7 Blackpool A Draw                    Lose
Tue Mar 10 Cardiff H Draw                      Win
Sat Mar 14 Plymouth H Win                      Win
Sat Mar 21 Birmingham A Lose                 Lose
Sat Apr 4 Sheffield Wed H Win                  Win
Sat Apr 11 Swansea A Lose                      Draw
Mon Apr 13 Watford H Win                          Draw
Sun Apr 19 Ipswich A Draw                            WIN
Sat Apr 25 Reading H Lose                              draw
Sun May 3 Charlton A Draw                             Win

[/quote]

Mr Butler... I think that CT has been drinking this evening (if the above post is anything to go by).

I reckon about 18 points between now and the end of the season and it is going to be very tight indeed.

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[quote user="Smudger"]I reckon about 18 points between now and the end of the season and it is going to be very tight indeed.[/quote]Since you forecast relegation for the last two seasons this is a definite improvement so things are looking up! [Y]

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Normally  46  to  48  points  is  enough. I  think  only  once  in  the  last 20  years  has  a side  gone  down  with  50  and  that  was  on  goal  difference. at  the  moment  we  have  one  ogf  the bests  GDs. 18 to  19  points  for  us  should  be  good  enough

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