Pinkun General Election thread (ID required)

[Midlands Yellow 4,583]

4 minutes ago, ricardo said:

Small win for me with 131 seats.

Need 149 for big win.

Surprised at Reform prediction 

Take some meds Ricardo and have some rest, ain’t happening. 

[king canary 8,395]

It's weird in that obviously 131 is a total disaster for the Tories but after all the stuff suggesting they could end up on under 100 it feels almost a bit underwhelming.

[Midlands Yellow 4,583]

2 minutes ago, cambridgeshire canary said:

What happened to Reform getting 3 seats at a push?

What’s the prediction? 

[ricardo 7,843]

Only 2 Green

 

[Capt. Pants 4,779]

Crikey Ange looking miserable

[cambridgeshire canary 7,565]

Tories spinning fast trying to explain why just scrapping past 100 seats is in fact a good thing and they are not in annnnny trouble

[KiwiScot 1,660]

1 hour ago, king canary said:

It's weird in that obviously 131 is a total disaster for the Tories but after all the stuff suggesting they could end up on under 100 it feels almost a bit underwhelming.

There is still hope Kingy.

[ricardo 7,843]

1 minute ago, Midlands Yellow said:

Take some meds Ricardo and have some rest, ain’t happening. 

Happy just to show a small profit.

My big bet this year relies on Biden not being Potus. That's looking very positive.

 

[Midlands Yellow 4,583]

7 minutes ago, cambridgeshire canary said:

What happened to Reform getting 3 seats at a push?

They are getting no where near that exit poll prediction. If you really believe they will then fill your boots at every online bookie. 

Edited July 4 by Midlands Yellow

[ricardo 7,843]

6 minutes ago, cambridgeshire canary said:

What happened to Reform getting 3 seats at a push?

I was wrong on that. Shocked they have got double figures

 

[Herman 10,946]

Well done LibDems by the looks of it. 👍

[Well b back 3,570]

Just now, ricardo said:

Happy just to show a small profit.

My big bet this year relies on Biden not being Potus. That's looking very positive.

 

I followed you and bet the opposite, reckon I will be £200 ish up, that’s some back from your Johnson / Truss exploits. 
Penny Mourdon and Jeremy Hunt likely out lol.

 

[Well b back 3,570]

And it all started with some wallpaper and taking the Mickey out of nurses.

[sonyc 6,059]

2 minutes ago, Herman said:

Well done LibDems by the looks of it. 👍

11 to 60! Yes.

As C4 are reporting, the bungee jumping strategy has worked. 

Davey has played his campaign very well. Plus he appeared very genuine. Gave me a laugh in this most miserable of campaigns.

[ricardo 7,843]

3 minutes ago, Well b back said:

I followed you and bet the opposite, reckon I will be £200 ish up, that’s some back from your Johnson / Truss exploits. 
Penny Mourdon and Jeremy Hunt likely out lol.

 

You've done your dough if you've backed Biden

[cambridgeshire canary 7,565]

2 minutes ago, Well b back said:

And it all started with some wallpaper and taking the Mickey out of nurses.

Everything that has happened in British politics in the past decade or so is down to two things. History after all always hinges on what seems small but has massive ripples down the road.

 

David Cameron gambling the future of his party and his job on Brexit and Ed Milliband eating a bacon sandwich a bit funny.

Edited July 4 by cambridgeshire canary

[canarydan23 4,638]

Vote forecast only showing minor gains for Starmer (excluding Scotland) and they he's lost votes in London.

It's possible he'll get less votes than Corbyn did in 2017.

[Fen Canary 1,362]

2 minutes ago, canarydan23 said:

Vote forecast only showing minor gains for Starmer (excluding Scotland) and they he's lost votes in London.

It's possible he'll get less votes than Corbyn did in 2017.

But over double the seats. Isn’t our electoral system ridiculous 

[ricardo 7,843]

Just now, canarydan23 said:

 

It's possible he'll get less votes than Corbyn did in 2017.

That looks certain. He has won because the right has split.

I expect Labour will be under 40 percent.

[canarydan23 4,638]

1 minute ago, Fen Canary said:

But over double the seats. Isn’t our electoral system ridiculous 

An absolute and total joke.

[yellow hammer 107]

This election is less about a Labour landslide and more about a Tory collapse.  The Labour Vote share is up a few points on 2019 but not enough to produce this landslide.  They got it from Tories staying at home plus Reform taking a huge chunk of their support

For these reasons there will be no Labour honeymoon period. And they will be loathed by Christmas 

[canarydan23 4,638]

1 minute ago, ricardo said:

That looks certain. He has won because the right has split.

I expect Labour will be under 40 percent.

I agree.

A disgrace of an electoral system.

[Yellow Fever 4,316]

A Labour landslide for certain.

I suspect there will be significant errors on the smaller party numbers. Just statistics. Need to see some real bellwether seats declare.

[ricardo 7,843]

1 minute ago, canarydan23 said:

I agree.

A disgrace of an electoral system.

Swings and roundabouts, it can work both ways.

Scottish Independence looks dead for a generation.

[cambridgeshire canary 7,565]

5 minutes ago, yellow hammer said:

This election is less about a Labour landslide and more about a Tory collapse.  The Labour Vote share is up a few points on 2019 but not enough to produce this landslide.  They got it from Tories staying at home plus Reform taking a huge chunk of their support

For these reasons there will be no Labour honeymoon period. And they will be loathed by Christmas 

Will say its interesting how the far left as well as many Corbyn fans clearly hate Starmer, as do obviously the right wing. Meanwhile most of the general public seem to have a very "meh" and "who?" attitude towards him. It's clear like you said that it's less people voting for Labour but more people not voting Tory, rather like Biden winning in America not beacause people liked Biden and wanted to vote for him but just beacause they hated Trump and would happily vote for anyone else.

 

Will be interesting to see how he does to say the last.

Edited July 4 by cambridgeshire canary

[canarydan23 4,638]

Yarmouth have gone Reform.

Also one of the lowest education levels in the country.

Interesting.

[ricardo 7,843]

2 minutes ago, canarydan23 said:

Yarmouth have gone Reform.

Also one of the lowest education levels in the country.

Interesting.

Decent dog track and the Golden Mile.👍😉

[cambridgeshire canary 7,565]

3 minutes ago, canarydan23 said:

Yarmouth have gone Reform.

Also one of the lowest education levels in the country.

Interesting.

All beacause those blooming immigrants have been pinching their icecreams and donuts.

 

Or was that the seagulls?

Edited July 4 by cambridgeshire canary

[Nuff Said 5,753]

28 minutes ago, Capt. Pants said:

Crikey Ange looking miserable

That’s gravitas. Crowing wouldn’t be a good look.

[sonyc 6,059]

1 minute ago, cambridgeshire canary said:

Will say its interesting how the far left as well as many Corbyn fans clearly hate Starmer, as do obviously the right wing. Meanwhile most of the public seem to have a very "meh" attitude towards him. It's clear like you said that it's less people voting for Labour but more people not voting Tory, rather like Biden winning in America not beacause they liked Biden but just beacause they hated Trump.

 

Will be interesting to see how he does to say the last.

To be honest if I had been living in Brighton I would have voted Green. If I lived in the south west I'm likely to have voted Lib Dem. Where I live the best chance to unseat the Tory is Labour. I'm a mix of all of those parties (I like many of their policies). But I've wanted this terrible administration out. Politics is all about mediating between positions, policies etc isn't it? I suspect the country feels much the same as me. Even those who've voted Reform. We've all had quite enough.