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Citizen Journalist Foghorn

We CAN still make the play-offs!!

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We have a 0.44% chance of making the play-offs

Statistical analysis below from a Palace fan:

Auto Play-offs Relegation

100.00% 0.00% 0.00% Reading
68.22% 31.78% 0.00% Sheff Utd
24.02% 75.91% 0.00% Leeds
8.28% 91.29% 0.00% Watford
1.11% 89.72% 0.00% Crystal Palace
0.18% 76.09% 0.00% Preston
0.00% 25.08% 0.00% Wolverhampton
0.00% 6.20% 0.00% Cardiff
0.00% 0.81% 0.00% Coventry
0.00% 0.63% 0.00% Ipswich
0.00% 0.44% 0.00% Norwich
0.00% 0.05% 0.00% Luton
0.00% 0.04% 0.01% Plymouth
0.00% 0.13% 0.01% QPR
0.00% 0.00% 0.19% Stoke
0.00% 0.00% 0.60% Leicester
0.00% 0.00% 0.28% Burnley
0.00% 0.00% 0.88% Southampton
0.00% 0.00% 1.61% Derby
0.00% 0.00% 2.21% Hull
0.00% 0.00% 39.08% Sheff Wed
0.00% 0.00% 68.82% Millwall
0.00% 0.00% 90.88% Brighton
0.00% 0.00% 93.74% Crewe

And the average opposition Points:

Pts Team

49.3 Reading
51.6 Sheff Utd
55.4 Leeds
47.9 Watford
51.4 Crystal Palace
47.0 Preston
54.0 Wolverhampton
53.8 Cardiff
50.8 Coventry
48.0 Ipswich
52.0 Norwich
51.0 Luton
52.3 Plymouth
50.1 QPR
55.4 Stoke
54.5 Leicester
44.8 Burnley
50.6 Southampton
51.0 Derby
54.8 Hull
50.1 Sheff Wed
43.0 Millwall
44.8 Brighton
50.6 Crewe

http://forums.cpfc.org/showthread.php?threadid=127994

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That Palace fan should find himself a girlfriend!!!

As Ally McCoist once said "The game isn''t played on paper" so all I see in front of me is a series of numbers. It''ll be interesting to look at his "Predictions" and the final league position when the league ends!

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a 225-1 chance of making the play offs - not very generous odds.; 

 

I''ll buy meself a pint instead - oi fat barman, where are you when you are needed!?![B]

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cjf - a kindred statto nerd - great post.what is interesting from the palace analysis is that it''s purely based on home advantage - that long term, in english football, every club wins its home games 50% of the time, draws them 25%, and loses them 25%.so much for the unpredictability of the beautfiul game!what was also refreshing is the good natured banter on the palace message board... hopefully those days will come again to pinkun.com.(and while there''s a 0.44% chance of making the playoffs I''ll still believe we can do it!)

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