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Prestonlad

Preston fan in peace

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And Lambert. Granted he had a fairly long run with us, but he is now where his performance suggests he belongs.

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2 hours ago, Nuff Said said:

I recently read (ok, have part-read) a fascinating book called Thinking Fast and Slow about human decision making. One idea it discussed is “reversion to the mean”, where something exhibits outstanding results, whether a football team, share prices, sales results or whatever, and we are programmed to over-weight that in our evaluation. Statistically most things revert back to average performance, football managers included. A good run doesn’t make them a genius, it’s just that, a good run, but probably not an indicator of future above average performance. 

 

2 hours ago, king canary said:

I feel like Hughton was a great example of that here. We had that amazing unbeaten run in the first season but as time went on that appeared more and more like a burst of overachievement but we kept hanging on in the hope he could rediscover that.

 

 

2 hours ago, Nuff Said said:

And Lambert. Granted he had a fairly long run with us, but he is now where his performance suggests he belongs.

Pretty much every manager we've had in the last decade, aside from Adams who never got going, including Neil and even Farke. Lambert, Neil and Farke were all hailed as the Messiah, a genius or whatever but opinion soon turned with the latter two when results started going badly, and Lambert has done nothing since he left us.

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4 hours ago, Wacky Waving Inflatable Arm Flailing Tube Man said:

 

 

Pretty much every manager we've had in the last decade, aside from Adams who never got going, including Neil and even Farke. Lambert, Neil and Farke were all hailed as the Messiah, a genius or whatever but opinion soon turned with the latter two when results started going badly, and Lambert has done nothing since he left us.

Yeah, although strangely there was always a fairly large group of dissenters when Hughton was here. Draw your own conclusions.

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