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So, before the kick-offs today, we found ourselves 5 points from safety (our GD meaning a point more than our rivals would be needed). Suddenly this seems far less insurmountable than it did. Another result like we had against Leicester is not outside the realms of possibility and suddenly we're back in with a shout. So, whilst it's the hope that kills you, here are our remaining fixtures

 

Home                                                                                              Away

                                                                                                         Sheffield Utd

Southampton

Everton

                                                                                                         Arsenal

Brighton

                                                                                                         Watford

West Ham

                                                                                                         Chelsea

Burnley

                                                                                                         Man City

 

 

Our away form this season has been generally atrocious, and we are bottom (20th) of the Away form league. This is somewhat moot when you consider 3 of or 5 remaining away games are Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City. So unless a miracle happens Nil point there. Watford are beatable but they are 7th in the Home Form table. On paper it's a Watford win. When we played Sheffield Utd I thought we were the better team but we threw away a winning position sloppily. They've been brilliant this season and are 6th in the Home Form table. So whilst, as a fellow promoted team we might have ear-marked this one as winnable, realistically this will be a loss as well. So anything, particulalry against Watford away for the remainder of the season has to be considered a bonus.

 

So it's all about the Home games. 

 

Southampton I think are definitely beatable if they have an off day. We are 11th in the Home Form table. Unfortunately Southampton are 3rd in the Away Form table with 4 wins from 6. Everton, well we've beaten them already this season. They are 7th in the Away table and 4th of form overall. Seemingly not a great time to play them. Brighton offers some improvement in hope, as they are 18th in the Away table and 19th overall. In 5 games time though, who is to say whether they will have picked up. This leaves us with West Ham and Burnley. Burnley we've already beaten this season, though they ae 5th in the Away form table. So West Ham then, 17th in the Away table and bottom of the form guide overall as we speak. Unfortunately at the time of typing they are 2-1 up at half time against Saints, perhaps rallied a little by our result.

 

Overall it still seems a massive ask, but while the points gap remains only one or two good results, there is always some hope. And often one team throws the form book out the window at this stage of the season. I hope that can be us

Edited by The Great Mass Debater

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I alluded to our remaining games on another thread. In my view we have two sets of 3 consecutive games, the first away at Sheff U and the second set starting versus Brighton. 5 wins would be very competitive in these 6 games (if we can get a run going). It might be enough given the results of 4 other teams around us. Possibly 5 including Brighton.

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So it's 7 points now instead of 5. Disappointing. But games against Brighton (whom a victory against would close the gap between us to 4) Watford and West Ham means we do still have a chance, but we have to be beating them

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To have any chance we need a five game unbeaten run, we need a draw at Sheff minimum, then three wins, that would bridge the gap....lose the next two and this win is irrelevant in the grand scheme of things.......massive ask.

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We basically just have to better one of Bournemouth or West Ham's results by 7 points over the next 10 games. That is a really tall order but it's not impossible. 4 wins and a draw at home plus one win and a draw away puts us on 38 points. That could well be enough. 

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14 hours ago, Christoph Stiepermann said:

We basically just have to better one of Bournemouth or West Ham's results by 7 points over the next 10 games. That is a really tall order but it's not impossible. 4 wins and a draw at home plus one win and a draw away puts us on 38 points. That could well be enough. 

Concerning because both teams looked good yesterday on MOTD.

We’ve left any run far too late.

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57 minutes ago, Canary Wundaboy said:

Concerning because both teams looked good yesterday on MOTD.

We’ve left any run far too late.

That's what I think,  but here's hoping we can do it

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