River End Canary 18 Posted November 19, 2018 I know the likes of Purple and Ricardo will start to form a view about what it will take this season to go up automatically Anyone had any educated guesses about how much we are talking about? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Petriix 2,834 Posted November 19, 2018 In the past few seasons 90 points would have guaranteed automatic promotion with the 3rd place team ranging from 85 to 89 points. It will possibly be a bit lower this season simply because the leaders are already a few points down on what would be a typical top 3 tally after 17 games. I suspect 86 points will get 2nd place this year, but that's just a feeling. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Grando 260 Posted November 19, 2018 (edited) If we get 100 points we'll definitely get promoted, I reckon. 😉 That's my educated guess. Edited November 19, 2018 by Grando Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hairy Canary 668 Posted November 19, 2018 The EFL Statistics site is using 89 points for automatic promotion, 74 for playoffs and 42 to avoid relegation. I think they start the season with those targets and then review them on a season by season basis as it progresses. Think they reset the targets around new year. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
KeiranShikari 1,410 Posted November 19, 2018 So many. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SwindonCanary 455 Posted November 19, 2018 With the closeness of the Championship, I believe it will take a lot less points than usual Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hairy Canary 668 Posted November 19, 2018 Fingers crossed you're right Swindon. We are the only team on target for the 89 points so far Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nutty nigel 7,513 Posted November 19, 2018 I think my buddy Rickyyyy's not soothsaying this season 🧙♂️🔮 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dylanisabaddog 4,877 Posted November 19, 2018 89 looks spot on to me Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Trevor Hockey's Beard 526 Posted November 19, 2018 42 is not enough to avoid relegation - certainly not in the last 7 years : 43, 51, 49, 46, 44, 55, 48. They need to buy a new calculator. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CANARYKING 634 Posted November 19, 2018 If its 55 the binners have had it Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sonyc 5,492 Posted November 19, 2018 I think 90 should do it for the top two. Could we be on course? If we are in top two by New Year's Day? And half of that, say 46, for a team to be safe, perhaps a last day issue, of not going down. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
It's Character Forming 1,160 Posted November 20, 2018 So far we have 33 points from 17 games = 1.94 per game. over 46 games that comes to 89 points. Obviously that's the best in the division at the moment ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Petriix 2,834 Posted November 20, 2018 46 minutes ago, It's Character Forming said: So far we have 33 points from 17 games = 1.94 per game. over 46 games that comes to 89 points. Obviously that's the best in the division at the moment ! Or, if we continue to get similar results to the ones we have so far against teams in similar positions and then adjust it to account for our slow start and comparative recent good form we'll get 103 points. My guess (fantasy) is somewhere between in the mid 90s. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Woodman 92 Posted November 20, 2018 I reckon 2 points average will see you across the line, so 92. As there's no one running away with it at the moment, it's going to be an exciting second half of the season. If we get through our 8 games up to New Year (Swansea (a), Hull (a), Rotherham (h), Bolton (h), Bristol (a), Blackburn (a), Derby (h), Forest (h)) and are still there or thereabouts, we can all start to get a bit excited. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ricardo 7,349 Posted November 20, 2018 18 hours ago, nutty nigel said: I think my buddy Rickyyyy's not soothsaying this season 🧙♂️🔮 I shall resist the temptation this season until the halfway stage Nutty. Results have exceeded even the most optimistic expectations so a reappraisal based on some actual data will take a bit of time to review. Needless to say it will be nice to be looking up rather than looking down. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill 1,788 Posted November 20, 2018 a point more than what 3rd place gets should do it Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
River End Canary 18 Posted November 20, 2018 21 minutes ago, Bill said: a point more than what 3rd place gets should do it Cutting edge analysis there William Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bill 1,788 Posted November 20, 2018 I tend to aim my comments toward the level of the post 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
splendidrush 700 Posted November 20, 2018 Good call Bill, I'll just enjoy the ride and see where it takes us. Of course there's the added spice of what's going on at the other end of the table. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites