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Fromage Frais

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Everything posted by Fromage Frais

  1. Maybe there is a performance element to it dragging on. Improbably getting promoted results in a world of difference in value. I am like you no way would I invest in something without the ability to change things. I am surprised they can do a deal with the current owners as doing well enough to stay/not doing bad enough to leave is not the recipe for a bargain per se. Why would you spend ages on Norwich when other teams go kaput and you can have total control, a bargain and delighted fans having been saved.
  2. Bit harsh Both got to the prem from the champs. Wagner managed to keep his team in there there which Farke never achieved as much as I love the guy. https://www.fourfourtwo.com/news/taking-a-closer-look-at-previous-german-managers-in-the-premier-league-1662553829000 Farke - 49 matches, won 6, drew 8, lost 35; win percentage 12.2 Wagner - 60 matches, won 11, drew 15, lost 34; win percentage 18 Both got sacked Wagner then got the Schalke job which is a massive one which did not work out. I would hazard a guess that non city fans would have the view they are very similar careers with quite similar career paths despite having a different style Wagner being more pressing (if I remember correctly and back in the day that HT team looked really good). Farke would obviously be considered king of the Championship but then many clubs would have sacked their manager during the first prem campaign. Yes he got sacked by young boys as they demanded to be champions (they came second) he also won a game against Manchester United which was in the champions league group stage... a level which Farke has yet to manage in? So if the guy is motivated and sees us as the ideal place to prove to everyone he is the real deal I consider this a good appointment. https://terrierspirit.com/david-wagners-tactics/
  3. Heart = stay Head = if near 10 million he does not suit the new system as much and is off on a free soon. He is an experienced player and may well not want to be on the bench as Sargent surges in form. If I was reaching the end of my contract and had a chance to play in the premier league again with a new contract and a bump in salary of say over 20 percent + and bonuses etc….. would be tempting at his age.
  4. https://www.clowesfund.org Looks like more American investors. As the £ plummets and the FED rises faster than the BOE its going to be supermarket sweep.
  5. Interesting with the falling pound there is going to be a large number of US investors snapping up football teams/companies/anything. But seems like only two ways to make money. 1) Get in the prep and sell after picking up a bargain club in the champs. Risky as need to be there for a few seasons in a row. 2) Get promoted and the owners can vote to remove relegation/reduce size. A scenario so lucrative for the big six that getting mates to buy the smaller teams and vote against their own interests could be a possibility for up front cash/compo. So unless there is some form of sports business intra company tax deduction type thingy I don't see the allure outside of options 1 or 2. Anyhow fingers crossed it all works out and its for the best.
  6. Interesting ... From this it looks like Middleborough not that far out Derby County: Frustrated buyers say £22M price tag for Pride Park forced cost of deal above £50M. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/sportsnews/article-10657199/Derby-County-Frustrated-buyers-say-22M-price-tag-Pride-Park-forced-cost-deal-50M.html
  7. Every business that folds, every factory that shutters more often than not results in creditors loosing money or agreeing to pennies in the £. They will take a haircut as DCFC dont have the liquidation value better something then nothing. Prices paid are made on the margin so in essence it is interesting to see how much Derby are worth in a fire sale. Norwich is not for sale so Delia can say 100 - 300 million + I respect your points but i feel it is comparable as its one of the closest clubs to our size and will give an indication of the demand out there. I can spend 10 million on a bronze statue of Mr Blobby ..... does not mean anyone is going to pay 10 million for it. Carrow road value for Norwich = xx million Carrow Road value no Norwich City = demolition and development which is substantial but not same league.
  8. It is hard to build a team for promotion from the champs with a view to the premier league. Better to do as we have before build a team to win the champs and worry about the rest later. I certainly would not sell any player in our team who is a proven champs performer unless worth it/they demand to leave. GK= Champs proven The defence = Champs proven Midfield = Weaker than last champs season* Attack = Weaker than last champs season** * Skipp not replaced and a lack of creativity it maybe that with a Skipp replacement other players improve against the lower quality opposition. ** Rashica and Sargent not proven in the Champs logically both should do better against poorer slower opposition. Pukki older and Emi was a fantastic player whom was too good for the champs last season. I do not see the consistency/durability of Kabak or Norman and the money should be used to get as decent a CDM as possible if they do not have long term faith in Sorensen. It will be very interesting to see who stays or not I think a few decent additions and the stark quality difference between the champs and Prem will be revealed.....ergo we should be competitive
  9. A fair point. "A back-and-forth followed between Boro and the EFL last summer, with the club’s solicitors asserting last July that the sale of Pride Park had not been at Fair Market Value. The club commissioned their own independent valuation which suggested a fee of £22.7m would have been “more realistic”." https://www.gazettelive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/58m-difference-middlesbrough-derby-valuations-18835544 So realistically circa 30 million and another 20-30 million for the stadium. 50 - 60 million + certain debts as in administration . Still not getting to 100million I feel it is very comparable as a similar sized club in the championship. We also have a whole squad rebuild next year though I admit we probably have a few more saleable assets. That is probably why there is little interest we are not a bargain and there are no guarantees of promotion either so why bother. If Derby was not applicable or a bargain... why is Mike Ashley et all thinking hey Derby have debts and no stadium lets buy Norwich instead... which he could do easily. Unless you are a premium top club football looks like the kind of market where unless you are cheap/motivated/distressed it is hard to get a deal done.
  10. I think the price for derby is in the 20-30 million £ zone I dont see anyone paying near 100m Inflation, and recession on the way anyhow so maybe more folk will be as "poor" as we are once the interest rates filter through on all those debts
  11. This. Chelsea may play the same sport but they are in a different planet. Norwich is a lovely club with a great fan base and outperforms its size. It has low prestige outside the UK and limited upside potential. The money to be made is buy cheap > get promoted > sell Ironically the most likely Prem buyer may well be a USA based mate of another clubs owner as that premier league vote could one day be used to form a breakaway premier league or join a super league. https://www.theguardian.com/football/2011/oct/17/foreign-owners-premier-league-relegation https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/premier-league-big-six-rebel-against-owners-charter-3s07763p3 Imagine one vote needed so the glaziers get their mate to buy Norwich (if in prem again) and then condemn Norwich to never being in the premier league again. In effect buying Norwich/el al for 100 million to add a billion $ each to the value of the top 5
  12. Therein lies the business case on how to make money in football MA is a billionaire he has already sold one premier league club and he feels like Derby at around that level of investment can be bought > promoted and then sold for say 100/200 million or roundabouts. You can argue MA is annoying when you are a Newcastle and you think you should be signing megastars and loosing 400,000k a day like Chelsea (nuts). But for Derby I do not see the bad side, they are in Admin and some debts wont get paid and others might MA comes in, club at a low ebb does he want to be a meh loss making champs side... of course not he has the money so I expect them to be strong contenders in due course on a budget yes but they will have plans. Once up the moaning will start but he will be able to cash out and then repeat.
  13. Rashica has looked ok ish for a few games. https://www.whoscored.com/Players/289014/Show/Milot-Rashica I would not say he has stamped himself as a premier league player as yet and still living off a bit of new signing hype. https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/milot-rashica/profil/spieler/291739 I think they have it bang on we signed for around 9m and he is currently down a bit on that around 7m. Champs is slower so i would expect him to tear it up there to be worth 7-10 million One in the sorry you want to leave Rashica but you did not really do much last year and we are not taking a loss. Hammer them in in the champs and you can leave in January for a profit or leave once we are promoted. Saying that if he comes back and gets some goals/ assists and the whole team makes more of a fist of it maybe he can go if a profit can be had leaving money for a couple of players who want to be here. Sadly atm though we are so crap everyones stock is falling and I dont see who would want to pay more so a bit in the champs (which still gets you sold out over 10 million if any good) may be not the purgatory it once was.
  14. Agreed. We are not going to get anyone whom is obvious from the prem. We are so bad atm no point spoiling next seasons promotion possibilities by blowing the budget. However.... i think this years Prem X1 may well loose against last years Champs X1. So for me we need a DM and a fast striker for next year anyhow so may as well buy them now with an eye on next season in the champs if at all possible. If thats possible who knows its going downhill so fast I would be considering a signing just to prevent the season becoming a toxic nightmare.
  15. I quite liked the look of most of the signings tbf. However they did not and still do not address the issues We lost Skipp and needed to replace him with a tough physically able DM before skipp we had tetty we now have worse. The thrashings come from the midfield getting over run. We still do not have an overly strong, great in the air or mega fast striker. There is no plan B we dont steal goals or set pieces I dont even ask for a wonderful player just someone with a facet that causes havoc. We need a number 10 I assumed this was to be BG but since we seem to like playing him deeper then we should have signed a number 10 at least someone who can get into the box
  16. There is none I have posted it before most fans have no clue as the sums of money are mind boggling yet are thrown around like confetti in football. Outside football who is going to bring 300+ Million and want to loose most of it. Folk are asking for new owners without a clue who those new owners will be, are we so dumb we think that like in FM once Delia gets ousted the Emir of some gulf state is going to step in why? For perspective if you have over 500m you would be in the top 20/30 richest people in East Anglia and often they are not from the area and have wisely no interest in football. There is only one business case for new owners at NCFC and thats they go down Delia looses millions and then the club is for sale in the xx million bracket probably league one The new owners will then think hey we can get this team up and cash out or take some money out once in the premier league. Just look at us Delia hero once promoted and villain within a year.... after spending 60 million its nuts. If you want new owners go out make 500+ million and buy it off her I am sure she would rip your hand off. Until then the real blame is the signing of players who looked like they where never going to make it.
  17. From another perspective. Imagine your Webber or one of the owners. Cantwell is/was worth 20m +£ and then suddenly frozen out. That approach to man management could get costly pretty quickly especially when loosing games.
  18. This City are well run not in much debt and make money from selling players at the moment. If they stay in the premier league they are going to make some money from being there + selling players. If they get relegated (likely) not so much. I can only see a few scenarios where Norwich City become attractive. 1) We stay in the premier league with a comfortably mid table side for another couple of seasons more prestigious and lower risk of relegation. You might be able to sell at value but i dont see someone paying a premium esp once rates start to rise. 2) The current owners become motivated or distressed and sell for cheap due to relegation etc If City go down and the club goes into a bit of a tailspin the most profitable punt for a 25-100 million to spend investor is buying the club and getting promoted then potentially selling for 100m There are a lot of folk like that and few maybe even in the area I think reports put Delia and husband putting say 10-20 million in back in the day. However at the moment with the club in the premier league and not doing great who is going to pay the 100-200m and then roll the dice on staying up. Your then talking about billionaires rolling the dice for what is a very low return where you are more likely to lose your money and get abused than making money. The big reason big clubs are going for such cash is a bet on a super league and cutting teams like City loose. We saw what the giants of Europe want to do. At some stage they are going to try and do a premier league netflix and take control and try and get more money and at every stage the new investors and large clubs are going to try and cut out and do down the also rans like us.
  19. This is a very different situation sadly imho. Last time we went up and that team played during the season and went down plucky but not good enough. This time we went up and a load of the team have gone (maybe worse) a lot of them are on loan and again imho we are worse than the last time we where here so far as a team. Less committed players, no Emi, Pukki older..... no guarantees. Its Delia's money but from my ignorant seat I would consider it less of a risk rolling the dice now than assuming we will go up again. Farke stays we are definitely down (unless some form of miracle) as it stands .
  20. So far looks a classic case of tidy, talented but to small, weak and slow. Maybe further up the pitch or around some athletic players that would not be an issue but in the role we are using him its looked painful sometimes. Its so obviously bad that I assume he will be pushed further up positionally once another option joins.
  21. On a side note it’s going to be interesting how they actually get enough staff to put the games on at higher capacities. Chefs up a lot I have been told, bar staff difficult to get let alone hundreds a time….. and security guards apparently even more difficult. The off pitch costs for the club are going to be way more than inflation not just players.
  22. This is my line of thinking also. Skill/Gifted vs Effectiveness. EB is a wonderful player but in terms of effectiveness at the top level the jury is out his stock is higher no than after the relegation but if a team had wanted to pay 30+ million for him he would have been out the door. Playing devils advocate they saw a very industrious player with top draw technique, pace not so much and not scoring enough goals which meant that whilst they would consider a good price for him he would be much more valuable to us. From back in the day the legends from 87 - 05 dined at the top table and Europe and it unlikely that we will see their like again for some time (if ever).
  23. Well if they think they are going to get 20 million for those then we will have to either be in the premier league or at the top of the champs. It cuts both ways if they sell all the best current players and bag the cash then pull it off on a shoestring = genius. If not and they pocket the cash and we drift to mid table mediocrity then the success of the past will be a deemed a fluke/good fortune.
  24. Statements like that are meaningless in this day and age. The fact is we do not have to sell them on the cheap, which we have not. As long as any premier league team pays the going rate for any of our players they are off. The model is sell for profit so I understand so the proof of the pudding will be the new signings made once the sales have been concluded. Now that will be a massive achievement promotion on a shoestring > best players sold > rebuild and then promotion challenge would be most impressive.
  25. If you are one of the other sellable players you must be thinking hey maybe I should make sure I jump ship also asap. A few months of not performing as expected in the champs in a depleted side will bring that value down for us and for them also. Who is going to be next off?
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